Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Damir DzumhurCap Cana CH Final

Cap Cana CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#70ATP
1636ELO
1611Hard ELO
$627kYTD
$2.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 11 March 2025
hard
#108ATP
1638ELO
1596Hard ELO
$528kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
34 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWWLLW
Kovacevic A.
6-2 6-3
Dzumhur D.
Kovacevic A.
662
Dzumhur D.
230

Aleksandar Kovacevic defeated Damir Dzumhur 6-2 6-3 in the Cap Cana CH final on hard. The result followed the form book — Aleksandar Kovacevic came in ranked #70. Aleksandar Kovacevic claimed a first win over Damir Dzumhur in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27Paris MastersQ2hardDamir Dzumhur6-7(2) 6-3 7-6(7)

Serve vs return

This season
Kovacevic A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Dzumhur D.

Dzumhur D.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Kovacevic A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kovacevic A.Dzumhur D.
52
Serve
2
0
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
67%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
76%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
39%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.7
1.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (93 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
53
70
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
87
Break points won·Dominant
4
64
Deciding sets·Even
81
80
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
60
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0+16 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Hard Elo 1596
4.7Overall Elo 1636
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1638
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
6.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.5
Minutes 14d
5.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
97
82

Kovacevic A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Dzumhur D.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast