Damir Dzumhur vs Aleksandar Kovacevic — Paris Masters Qualifying Round 2

Paris Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
Damir Dzumhur
BIH6
Damir Dzumhur
#105ATP
1638ELO
1596Hard ELO
$528kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
34 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
Aleksandar Kovacevic
USA8
Aleksandar Kovacevic
#70ATP
1636ELO
1611Hard ELO
$627kYTD
$2.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
Dzumhur D.
6-7 6-3 7-6
Kovacevic A.
Dzumhur D.
626792
Kovacevic A.
773671

Damir Dzumhur defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-7 6-3 7-6 in the Paris Masters qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aleksandar Kovacevic came in ranked #70.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Dzumhur D.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Kovacevic A.

Kovacevic A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Dzumhur D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Dzumhur D.Kovacevic A.
2
Serve
52
35
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Dzumhur D.Kovacevic A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
60%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
63%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
34%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.2
8.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 94). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Dzumhur D.Kovacevic A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
70
53
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
96
Break points won·Dominant
64
4
Deciding sets·Even
80
81
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
70
60

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Dzumhur D.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Kovacevic A.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0Hard Elo 1596
Surface ELO
5.0+16 Hard Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1638
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1636
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
4.4
Surface form
4.7
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.7
Minutes 14d
4.4
0.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
5.1
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Dzumhur D.Kovacevic A.
Freshness·Clear edge
79
96

Dzumhur D.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d) · Kovacevic A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 82%
Q2
Etcheverry T.[4]
De Jong J.
6-26-3
Korda S.[2]
Royer V.[10]
6-25-76-4
Quinn E.[12]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-37-64
Vukic A.
Opelka R.[5]
W/O
Comesana F.[7]
Goffin D.
6-10-0
Fearnley J.
Hanfmann Y.
6-46-2
Dzumhur D.[6]
Kovacevic A.[8]
6-726-37-67
Q1
Opelka R.[5]
Bellucci M.
6-36-4
Korda S.[2]
Kopriva V.
6-27-5
Comesana F.[7]
Van Assche L.
7-56-1
Royer V.[10]
Herbert P.
7-56-3
Dzumhur D.[6]
Halys Q.
4-66-36-1
Etcheverry T.[4]
Martinez P.
6-26-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Brooksby J.[1]
4-66-36-3
Vukic A.
Walton A.[14]
3-66-26-4
De Jong J.
Majchrzak K.[11]
4-67-657-64
Quinn E.[12]
Blanchet U.
6-26-3
Goffin D.
Medjedovic H.[9]
7-57-5
Hanfmann Y.
Mannarino A.[3]
6-36-2
Kovacevic A.[8]
Jacquet K.
3-67-57-63
Fearnley J.
Arnaldi M.[13]
7-56-2