Alexander Bublik vs Aleksandar VukicPhoenix CH Round of 32

Phoenix CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 11 March 2025
hard
#113ATP
1630ELO
1597Hard ELO
$366kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWLWWL
Bublik A.
6-3 3-6 6-3
Vukic A.
Bublik A.
6362
Vukic A.
3631

Alexander Bublik defeated Aleksandar Vukic 6-3 3-6 6-3 in the Phoenix CH round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11. Alexander Bublik extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-17HangzhouR16hardAlexander Bublik6-7(6) 6-4 6-4
2024-06-24EastbourneR16grassAleksandar Vukic6-4 6-4
2024-05-20LyonR16clayAlexander Bublik6-4 6-2
2022-01-10Adelaide 2R32hardAleksandar Vukic7-6(5) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Vukic A.

Vukic A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bublik A.Vukic A.
65
Serve
22
25
Return
5

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
67%
63%
Return points won·Even
35%
33%
Break points saved·Even
67%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
10.8
8.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 84). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
88
59
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Dominant
67
16
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
74
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.4+239 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.6Hard Elo 1597
9.0Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
1.0Overall Elo 1630
5.0
H2H
5.0
1.9
Surface form
2.6
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
8.6
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
78
65

Bublik A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Vukic A.: played today · 2 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast