Aleksandar Vukic vs Alexander BublikAdelaide 2 Round of 32

Adelaide 2 · ATP · Round of 32
#113ATP
1630ELO
1597Hard ELO
$366kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 January 2022
hard
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Vukic A.
7-6 6-2
Bublik A.
Vukic A.
7762
Bublik A.
6520

Aleksandar Vukic defeated Alexander Bublik 7-6 6-2 in the Adelaide 2 round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Aleksandar Vukic narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-17HangzhouR16hardAlexander Bublik6-7(6) 6-4 6-4
2024-06-24EastbourneR16grassAleksandar Vukic6-4 6-4
2024-05-20LyonR16clayAlexander Bublik6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Vukic A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Vukic A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Vukic A.Bublik A.
21
Serve
65
7
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.4
11.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
58
88
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Dominant
16
67
Deciding sets·Dominant
72
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
80
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 40 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
1.6Hard Elo 1597
Surface ELO
8.4+239 Hard Elo edge
1.0Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
9.0Overall Elo 1889
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
4.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
91
74

Vukic A.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Bublik A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast