Anastasia Potapova vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroIndian Wells Round of 128

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 128
#28WTA
1904ELO
1804Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#52WTA
1721ELO
1664Hard ELO
$391kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLL
Potapova A.
6-7 6-4 7-5
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Potapova A.
65672
Bouzas Maneiro J.
77451

Anastasia Potapova defeated Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 6-7 6-4 7-5 in the Indian Wells round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Anastasia Potapova came in ranked #28, defending last year's quarter-final. Anastasia Potapova claimed a first win over Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-29WimbledonR128grassJessica Bouzas Maneiro6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Potapova A.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Bouzas Maneiro J.

Bouzas Maneiro J.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Potapova A.Bouzas Maneiro J.
11
Serve
15
52
Return
63

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.5
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 65). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
81
53
Break points saved·Dominant
89
53
Break points won·Slight edge
88
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
96
86
Tiebreaks·Dominant
57
9

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+141 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Hard Elo 1664
7.0Overall Elo 1904
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1721
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
4.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.7
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
4.7
Country comfort
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
99
91

Potapova A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Bouzas Maneiro J.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%

Draw