Holger Rune vs Ugo Humbert — Indian Wells Masters Round of 32

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 32
Holger Rune
DEN12
Holger Rune
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
Ugo Humbert
FRA18
Ugo Humbert
#30ATP
1868ELO
1843Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
Rune H.
5-7 6-4 7-5
Humbert U.
Rune H.
5672
Humbert U.
7451

Holger Rune defeated Ugo Humbert 5-7 6-4 7-5 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ugo Humbert came in ranked #30, defending last year's round of 32. Holger Rune extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

4–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-13StockholmSFhardUgo Humbert4-6 2-2 RET
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR32hardHolger Rune6-4 6-4
2023-01-16Australian OpenR32hardHolger Rune6-4 6-2 7-6(5)
2022-10-24BaselR16hardHolger Rune6-4 6-2
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersR128hardHolger Rune6-3 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Humbert U.

Humbert U.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rune H.Humbert U.
47
Serve
64
58
Return
15

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rune H.Humbert U.
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Even
63%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.2
6.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 63). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rune H.Humbert U.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
91
70
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
84
37
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
78
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rune H.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Humbert U.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1725
Surface ELO
6.1+119 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1868
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.9
Surface form
8.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
8.1
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.4
Country comfort
5.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rune H.Humbert U.
Freshness·
—
92

Humbert U.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%
Final
Draper J.[13]
Rune H.[12]
6-26-2
Semi-finals
Rune H.[12]
Medvedev D.[5]
7-56-4
Draper J.[13]
Alcaraz C.[2]
6-10-66-4
Quarter-finals
Rune H.[12]
Griekspoor T.
5-76-06-3
Medvedev D.[5]
Fils A.[20]
6-42-67-67
Draper J.[13]
Shelton B.[11]
6-47-5
Alcaraz C.[2]
Cerundolo F.[25]
6-37-64
R16
Shelton B.[11]
Nakashima B.[32]
7-666-1
Medvedev D.[5]
Paul T.[10]
6-46-0
Griekspoor T.
Watanuki Y.
7-646-1
Cerundolo F.[25]
De Minaur A.[9]
7-56-3
Rune H.[12]
Tsitsipas S.[8]
6-46-4
Fils A.[20]
Giron M.
6-22-66-3
Alcaraz C.[2]
Dimitrov G.[14]
6-16-1
Draper J.[13]
Fritz T.[3]
7-56-4
R32
De Minaur A.[9]
Hurkacz H.[21]
6-46-0
Giron M.
Popyrin A.[26]
5-76-36-3
Watanuki Y.
Tiafoe F.[16]
6-47-66
Griekspoor T.
Mpetshi Perricard G.[29]
7-636-3
Medvedev D.[5]
Michelsen A.[31]
2-0
Nakashima B.[32]
Arnaldi M.
6-26-4
Paul T.[10]
Norrie C.
6-37-5
Fritz T.[3]
Tabilo A.[30]
4-66-36-1
Tsitsipas S.[8]
Berrettini M.[28]
6-36-3
Fils A.[20]
Musetti L.[15]
3-67-646-3
Rune H.[12]
Humbert U.[18]
5-76-47-5
Cerundolo F.[25]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-36-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Shapovalov D.[27]
6-26-4
Dimitrov G.[14]
Monfils G.
7-644-67-62
Shelton B.[11]
Khachanov K.[22]
6-37-5
Draper J.[13]
Brooksby J.
7-56-4
R64
Watanuki Y.
Machac T.[19]
4-64-2
Mpetshi Perricard G.[29]
Marozsan F.
6-40-0
Tiafoe F.[16]
Dzumhur D.
7-647-67
Monfils G.
Korda S.[24]
7-627-64
Berrettini M.[28]
Oconnell C.
6-27-62
Michelsen A.[31]
Smith C.
6-36-4
Hurkacz H.[21]
Gaston H.
7-56-3
Tabilo A.[30]
Lajovic D.
6-37-5
Rune H.[12]
Moutet C.
6-26-4
Paul T.[10]
Boyer T.
6-36-1
Nakashima B.[32]
Hijikata R.
7-56-1
Fritz T.[3]
Gigante M.
6-37-5
Griekspoor T.
Zverev A.[1]
4-67-657-64
Van De Zandschulp B.
Djokovic N.[6]
6-23-66-1
Musetti L.[15]
Safiullin R.
7-55-76-2
Popyrin A.[26]
Bergs Z.
7-647-5
Giron M.
Ruud C.[4]
7-643-66-2
De Minaur A.[9]
Goffin D.
6-26-2
Humbert U.[18]
Nishikori K.
6-46-3
Brooksby J.
Auger Aliassime F.[17]
6-46-2
Medvedev D.[5]
Yunchaokete B.
6-26-2
Dimitrov G.[14]
Borges N.
6-36-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Halys Q.
6-46-2
Shapovalov D.[27]
Walton A.
6-36-2
Cerundolo F.[25]
Mcdonald M.
4-67-636-1
Draper J.[13]
Fonseca J.
6-46-0
Shelton B.[11]
Navone M.
6-36-2
Khachanov K.[22]
Mensik J.
3-66-06-3
Arnaldi M.
Rublev A.[7]
6-47-5
Norrie C.
Lehecka J.[23]
3-66-47-5
Fils A.[20]
Diallo G.
6-26-2
Tsitsipas S.[8]
Seyboth Wild T.
6-26-4
R128
Halys Q.
Carreno Busta P.
6-36-4
Walton A.
Zeppieri G.
7-56-1
Monfils G.
Struff J.
6-46-4
Borges N.
Rinderknech A.
6-15-76-2
Goffin D.
Sonego L.
6-47-5
Gaston H.
Darderi L.
6-36-3
Van De Zandschulp B.
Kyrgios N.
7-673-0
Lajovic D.
Tu L.
6-26-0
Brooksby J.
Bonzi B.
1-67-57-5
Fonseca J.
Fearnley J.
6-21-66-3
Navone M.
Tien L.
7-56-4
Mensik J.
Etcheverry T.
6-47-66
Hijikata R.
Shevchenko A.
6-16-3
Arnaldi M.
Kovacevic A.
6-35-76-4
Mcdonald M.
Davidovich Fokina A.
2-66-36-2
Boyer T.
Vukic A.
4-66-27-64
Gigante M.
Baez S.
3-66-16-4
Norrie C.
Nardi L.
6-06-3
Giron M.
Basilashvili N.
7-57-63
Bergs Z.
Quinn E.
7-626-3
Moutet C.
Thompson J.
6-44-66-3
Watanuki Y.
Bublik A.
6-33-66-3
Dzumhur D.
Bautista Agut R.
6-41-67-64
Oconnell C.
Carballes Baena R.
6-30-66-1
Marozsan F.
Martinez P.
6-36-2
Yunchaokete B.
Basavareddy N.
7-56-4
Smith C.
Cobolli F.
3-66-26-2
Safiullin R.
Opelka R.
7-56-4
Diallo G.
Zhang Z.
2-66-27-67
Seyboth Wild T.
Muller A.
4-67-57-66
Nishikori K.
Munar J.
6-25-77-63
Griekspoor T.
Kecmanovic M.
6-756-46-3