Holger Rune vs Ugo HumbertAustralian Open Round of 32

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 32
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 January 2023
hard
#30ATP
1868ELO
1843Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
Rune H.
6-4 6-2 7-6
Humbert U.
Rune H.
66773
Humbert U.
42650

Holger Rune defeated Ugo Humbert 6-4 6-2 7-6 in the Australian Open round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ugo Humbert came in ranked #30, defending last year's round of 128. Holger Rune extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Holger Rune closed it out in three sets, 6–4 6–2 7–6.

Head to head

41
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-13StockholmSFhardUgo Humbert4-6 2-2 RET
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR32hardHolger Rune6-4 6-4
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR32hardHolger Rune5-7 6-4 7-5
2022-10-24BaselR16hardHolger Rune6-4 6-2
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersR128hardHolger Rune6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Humbert U.

Humbert U.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rune H.Humbert U.
47
Serve
64
58
Return
15

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.8
6.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (186 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
91
70
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
84
37
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
78
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1725
Surface ELO
6.1+119 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1868
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.8
Surface form
4.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
8.0
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Humbert U.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 56%
R128
Kubler J.
Baez S.
6-46-46-4
Shang J.
Otte O.
6-26-46-727-5
Millman J.
Huesler M.
6-787-56-726-26-3
Norrie C.[11]
Van Assche L.
7-636-06-3
Lestienne C.
Monteiro T.
6-37-626-3
Ruusuvuori E.
Purcell M.
4-66-36-47-611
Chardy J.
Galan D.
1-67-56-16-4
Djere L.
Bergs Z.
6-41-66-46-1
Zverev A.[12]
Varillas J.
4-66-15-77-636-4
Murray A.
Berrettini M.[13]
6-36-34-66-777-66
Eubanks C.
Kwon S.
6-36-716-34-66-4
Carreno Busta P.[14]
Cachin P.
7-646-17-63
Svrcina D.
Munar J.
6-36-26-2
Wolf J.
Thompson J.
6-33-66-47-5
Paul T.
Struff J.
6-17-666-2
Holt B.
Vukic A.
6-41-66-33-66-3
Fucsovics M.
Coria F.
4-67-52-67-666-2
Sonego L.
Borges N.
7-646-36-766-1
Nadal R.[1]
Draper J.
7-52-66-46-1
Mcdonald M.
Nakashima B.
7-657-611-66-7106-4
Nishioka Y.[31]
Ymer M.
6-46-27-5
Khachanov K.[18]
Zapata Miralles B.
7-636-26-0
Tiafoe F.[16]
Altmaier D.
6-36-36-757-66
Hurkacz H.[10]
Martinez P.
7-616-26-2
Daniel T.
Escobedo E.
7-56-23-66-3
Shapovalov D.[20]
Lajovic D.
6-44-66-46-1
Korda S.[29]
Garin C.
6-41-66-36-2
Watanuki Y.
Rinderknech A.
6-36-36-2
Medvedev D.[7]
Giron M.
6-06-16-2
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Halys Q.
6-36-47-66
Hijikata R.
Hanfmann Y.
4-64-66-37-656-3
Griekspoor T.
Kotov P.
6-37-636-3
Van De Zandschulp B.[32]
Ivashka I.
6-33-67-56-3
Harris L.
Musetti L.[17]
6-46-16-702-67-64
Etcheverry T.
Barrere G.
3-66-36-46-4
Sinner J.[15]
Edmund K.
6-46-06-2
Lehecka J.
Coric B.[21]
6-36-36-3
Cerundolo F.[28]
Pella G.
6-46-46-3
Moutet C.
Wu Y.
6-45-76-24-67-5
Molcan A.
Wawrinka S.
6-736-31-67-626-4
Auger Aliassime F.[6]
Pospisil V.
1-67-647-636-3
Rublev A.[5]
Thiem D.
6-36-46-2
Evans D.[25]
Bagnis F.
6-44-66-46-4
Kudla D.
Safiullin R.
3-67-57-666-3
Humbert U.
Gasquet R.
6-36-46-3
Cressy M.
Ramos A.
7-627-53-66-3
Rune H.[9]
Krajinovic F.
6-26-36-4
Bonzi B.
Bellucci M.
4-66-37-656-4
De Minaur A.[22]
Hsu Y.
6-26-26-3
Dimitrov G.[27]
Karatsev A.
7-637-56-2
Couacaud E.
Dellien H.
6-47-56-0
Djokovic N.[4]
Carballes Baena R.
6-36-46-0
Popyrin A.
Tseng C.
4-67-656-757-646-1
Shelton B.
Zhang Z.
4-66-36-22-67-64
Jarry N.
Kecmanovic M.[26]
6-36-47-63
Schwartzman D.[23]
Krutykh O.
6-46-766-37-65
Kokkinakis T.
Fognini F.
6-16-26-2
Davidovich Fokina A.[30]
Bublik A.
6-06-733-66-46-3
Brooksby J.
Oconnell C.
3-66-26-36-2
Ruud C.[2]
Machac T.
6-37-666-756-3
Fritz T.[8]
Basilashvili N.
6-46-24-67-5
Mmoh M.
Lokoli L.
4-62-67-676-46-2
Mannarino A.
Isner J.
6-757-686-26-2
Bautista Agut R.[24]
Sousa J.
6-36-26-2