Brandon Nakashima vs Rinky HijikataIndian Wells Masters Round of 64

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#82ATP
1748ELO
1694Hard ELO
$601kYTD
$4.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLW
Nakashima B.
7-5 6-1
Hijikata R.
Nakashima B.
762
Hijikata R.
510

Brandon Nakashima defeated Rinky Hijikata 7-5 6-1 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 64. Brandon Nakashima extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Brandon Nakashima came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-06AdelaideR16hardRinky Hijikata6-2 3-6 7-6(5)
2024-09-18HangzhouQFhardBrandon Nakashima7-5 6-3
2024-04-01HoustonR16clayBrandon Nakashima6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Hijikata R.

Hijikata R.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Hijikata R.
61
Serve
21
23
Return
26

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.9
4.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.0
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (82 vs 102). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
56
67
Break points saved·Even
99
95
Break points won·Clear edge
13
26
Deciding sets·Clear edge
64
81
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+94 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1694
6.2Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1748
4.6
H2H
5.4
5.9
Surface form
2.7
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.1
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.8
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
93

Nakashima B.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Hijikata R.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%