Rinky Hijikata vs Brandon NakashimaAdelaide Round of 16

Adelaide · ATP · Round of 16
#82ATP
1748ELO
1694Hard ELO
$601kYTD
$4.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 January 2025
hard
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Hijikata R.
6-2 3-6 7-6
Nakashima B.
Hijikata R.
63772
Nakashima B.
26651

Rinky Hijikata defeated Brandon Nakashima 6-2 3-6 7-6 in the Adelaide round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Rinky Hijikata claimed a first win over Brandon Nakashima in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Rinky Hijikata closed it out in three sets, 6–2 3–6 7–6.

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR64hardBrandon Nakashima7-5 6-1
2024-09-18HangzhouQFhardBrandon Nakashima7-5 6-3
2024-04-01HoustonR16clayBrandon Nakashima6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Hijikata R.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Hijikata R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Hijikata R.Nakashima B.
21
Serve
61
26
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
8.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (102 vs 82). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
66
56
Break points saved·Even
95
99
Break points won·Clear edge
26
13
Deciding sets·Clear edge
81
64
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.8Hard Elo 1694
Surface ELO
6.2+94 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1748
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1839
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.2
Surface form
2.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
9.3
Minutes 14d
9.1
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.3
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
84

Hijikata R.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Nakashima B.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 58%