Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina — Indian Wells Masters Round of 128

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 128
Mackenzie Mcdonald
USA
Mackenzie Mcdonald
#145ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ESP
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#23ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Mcdonald M.
2-6 6-3 6-2
Davidovich Fokina A.
Mcdonald M.
2662
Davidovich Fokina A.
6321

Mackenzie Mcdonald defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 2-6 6-3 6-2 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina came in ranked #23, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 64. Mackenzie Mcdonald claimed a first win over Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-10Delray BeachR16hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-2 5-7 6-0
2023-08-07Canada MastersQFhardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 6-2
2021-11-08StockholmR32hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-2 3-6 7-5
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Mcdonald M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Davidovich Fokina A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mcdonald M.Davidovich Fokina A.
25
Serve
40
10
Return
53

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Mcdonald M.Davidovich Fokina A.
1st serve in·Even
66%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.0
3.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Mcdonald M.Davidovich Fokina A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
91
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Dominant
66
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
45
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
44
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mcdonald M.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Davidovich Fokina A.
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1604
Surface ELO
7.7+238 Hard Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1606
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 1893
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.3
Surface form
8.3
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.1
Minutes 14d
4.1
4.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
7.0
Country comfort
4.3
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Mcdonald M.Davidovich Fokina A.
Freshness·Clear edge
87
70

Mcdonald M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Davidovich Fokina A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%
Final
Draper J.[13]
Rune H.[12]
6-26-2
Semi-finals
Rune H.[12]
Medvedev D.[5]
7-56-4
Draper J.[13]
Alcaraz C.[2]
6-10-66-4
Quarter-finals
Rune H.[12]
Griekspoor T.
5-76-06-3
Medvedev D.[5]
Fils A.[20]
6-42-67-67
Draper J.[13]
Shelton B.[11]
6-47-5
Alcaraz C.[2]
Cerundolo F.[25]
6-37-64
R16
Shelton B.[11]
Nakashima B.[32]
7-666-1
Medvedev D.[5]
Paul T.[10]
6-46-0
Griekspoor T.
Watanuki Y.
7-646-1
Cerundolo F.[25]
De Minaur A.[9]
7-56-3
Rune H.[12]
Tsitsipas S.[8]
6-46-4
Fils A.[20]
Giron M.
6-22-66-3
Alcaraz C.[2]
Dimitrov G.[14]
6-16-1
Draper J.[13]
Fritz T.[3]
7-56-4
R32
De Minaur A.[9]
Hurkacz H.[21]
6-46-0
Giron M.
Popyrin A.[26]
5-76-36-3
Watanuki Y.
Tiafoe F.[16]
6-47-66
Griekspoor T.
Mpetshi Perricard G.[29]
7-636-3
Medvedev D.[5]
Michelsen A.[31]
2-0
Nakashima B.[32]
Arnaldi M.
6-26-4
Paul T.[10]
Norrie C.
6-37-5
Fritz T.[3]
Tabilo A.[30]
4-66-36-1
Tsitsipas S.[8]
Berrettini M.[28]
6-36-3
Fils A.[20]
Musetti L.[15]
3-67-646-3
Rune H.[12]
Humbert U.[18]
5-76-47-5
Cerundolo F.[25]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-36-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Shapovalov D.[27]
6-26-4
Dimitrov G.[14]
Monfils G.
7-644-67-62
Shelton B.[11]
Khachanov K.[22]
6-37-5
Draper J.[13]
Brooksby J.
7-56-4
R64
Watanuki Y.
Machac T.[19]
4-64-2
Mpetshi Perricard G.[29]
Marozsan F.
6-40-0
Tiafoe F.[16]
Dzumhur D.
7-647-67
Monfils G.
Korda S.[24]
7-627-64
Berrettini M.[28]
Oconnell C.
6-27-62
Michelsen A.[31]
Smith C.
6-36-4
Hurkacz H.[21]
Gaston H.
7-56-3
Tabilo A.[30]
Lajovic D.
6-37-5
Rune H.[12]
Moutet C.
6-26-4
Paul T.[10]
Boyer T.
6-36-1
Nakashima B.[32]
Hijikata R.
7-56-1
Fritz T.[3]
Gigante M.
6-37-5
Griekspoor T.
Zverev A.[1]
4-67-657-64
Van De Zandschulp B.
Djokovic N.[6]
6-23-66-1
Musetti L.[15]
Safiullin R.
7-55-76-2
Popyrin A.[26]
Bergs Z.
7-647-5
Giron M.
Ruud C.[4]
7-643-66-2
De Minaur A.[9]
Goffin D.
6-26-2
Humbert U.[18]
Nishikori K.
6-46-3
Brooksby J.
Auger Aliassime F.[17]
6-46-2
Medvedev D.[5]
Yunchaokete B.
6-26-2
Dimitrov G.[14]
Borges N.
6-36-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Halys Q.
6-46-2
Shapovalov D.[27]
Walton A.
6-36-2
Cerundolo F.[25]
Mcdonald M.
4-67-636-1
Draper J.[13]
Fonseca J.
6-46-0
Shelton B.[11]
Navone M.
6-36-2
Khachanov K.[22]
Mensik J.
3-66-06-3
Arnaldi M.
Rublev A.[7]
6-47-5
Norrie C.
Lehecka J.[23]
3-66-47-5
Fils A.[20]
Diallo G.
6-26-2
Tsitsipas S.[8]
Seyboth Wild T.
6-26-4
R128
Halys Q.
Carreno Busta P.
6-36-4
Walton A.
Zeppieri G.
7-56-1
Monfils G.
Struff J.
6-46-4
Borges N.
Rinderknech A.
6-15-76-2
Goffin D.
Sonego L.
6-47-5
Gaston H.
Darderi L.
6-36-3
Van De Zandschulp B.
Kyrgios N.
7-673-0
Lajovic D.
Tu L.
6-26-0
Brooksby J.
Bonzi B.
1-67-57-5
Fonseca J.
Fearnley J.
6-21-66-3
Navone M.
Tien L.
7-56-4
Mensik J.
Etcheverry T.
6-47-66
Hijikata R.
Shevchenko A.
6-16-3
Arnaldi M.
Kovacevic A.
6-35-76-4
Mcdonald M.
Davidovich Fokina A.
2-66-36-2
Boyer T.
Vukic A.
4-66-27-64
Gigante M.
Baez S.
3-66-16-4
Norrie C.
Nardi L.
6-06-3
Giron M.
Basilashvili N.
7-57-63
Bergs Z.
Quinn E.
7-626-3
Moutet C.
Thompson J.
6-44-66-3
Watanuki Y.
Bublik A.
6-33-66-3
Dzumhur D.
Bautista Agut R.
6-41-67-64
Oconnell C.
Carballes Baena R.
6-30-66-1
Marozsan F.
Martinez P.
6-36-2
Yunchaokete B.
Basavareddy N.
7-56-4
Smith C.
Cobolli F.
3-66-26-2
Safiullin R.
Opelka R.
7-56-4
Diallo G.
Zhang Z.
2-66-27-67
Seyboth Wild T.
Muller A.
4-67-57-66
Nishikori K.
Munar J.
6-25-77-63
Griekspoor T.
Kecmanovic M.
6-756-46-3