Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mackenzie McdonaldStockholm Round of 32

Stockholm · ATP · Round of 32
#20ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 November 2021
hard
#140ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-2 3-6 7-5
Mcdonald M.
Davidovich Fokina A.
6372
Mcdonald M.
2651

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-2 3-6 7-5 in the Stockholm round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina came in ranked #20, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR128hardMackenzie Mcdonald2-6 6-3 6-2
2025-02-10Delray BeachR16hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-2 5-7 6-0
2023-08-07Canada MastersQFhardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Davidovich Fokina A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Davidovich Fokina A.Mcdonald M.
41
Serve
25
53
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.9
4.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
56
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
95
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
91
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
85
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.7+238 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Hard Elo 1604
8.0Overall Elo 1893
ELO gap
2.0Overall Elo 1606
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.1
Surface form
4.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
9.3
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
84
92

Davidovich Fokina A.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Mcdonald M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
3°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 79%