Jack Draper vs Taylor FritzIndian Wells Masters Round of 16

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#131ATP
1822ELO
1783Hard ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#7ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Draper J.
7-5 6-4
Fritz T.
Draper J.
762
Fritz T.
540

Jack Draper defeated Taylor Fritz 7-5 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Taylor Fritz came in ranked #7, defending last year's round of 16. Jack Draper extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-28Paris MastersR32hardJack Draper7-6(6) 4-6 6-4
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsR32clayTaylor Fritz6-7(3) 6-3 6-2
2024-04-15MunichQFclayTaylor Fritz4-6 6-3 7-6(1)
2022-06-13Queen's ClubR32grassJack Draper6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Draper J.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Fritz T.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Draper J.Fritz T.
Serve
76
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
71%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.1
12.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (46 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
87
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Clear edge
83
60
Deciding sets·Even
96
98
Tiebreaks·Even
95
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 23 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1783
Surface ELO
5.6+56 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1909
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.1
Surface form
6.4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
7.5
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
63

Draper J.: 15 days rest · Fritz T.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 103 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%