Emma Navarro vs Sorana CirsteaIndian Wells Round of 64

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 64
#26WTA
1866ELO
1764Hard ELO
$675kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#17WTA
1957ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$12MCAREER
36 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWW
Navarro E.
3-6 6-1 7-6
Cirstea S.
Navarro E.
36772
Cirstea S.
61631

Emma Navarro defeated Sorana Cirstea 3-6 6-1 7-6 in the Indian Wells round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Sorana Cirstea came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64, but Emma Navarro had arrived on a 5-match winning run. Emma Navarro claimed a first win over Sorana Cirstea in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-17DubaiR16hardSorana Cirstea7-6(5) 3-6 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Navarro E.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Cirstea S.

Cirstea S.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Navarro E.

Serve advantage — Cirstea S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Navarro E.Cirstea S.
43
Serve
67
42
Return
70

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (66 vs 77). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
90
85
Break points saved·Even
88
86
Break points won·Slight edge
99
92
Deciding sets·Slight edge
93
85
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Hard Elo 1764
Surface ELO
7.2+151 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1957
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.5
Surface form
6.3
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
6.2
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.7
Country comfort
4.9
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
91

Navarro E.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Cirstea S.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%

Draw