Lucia Bronzetti vs Magdalena FrechIndian Wells Round of 64

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 64
#125WTA
1622ELO
1551Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#44WTA
1725ELO
1700Hard ELO
$659kYTD
$4.8MCAREER
28 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWLWL
Bronzetti L.
6-3 7-5
Frech M.
Bronzetti L.
672
Frech M.
350

Lucia Bronzetti defeated Magdalena Frech 6-3 7-5 in the Indian Wells round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Magdalena Frech came in ranked #44, defending last year's round of 128. Lucia Bronzetti extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-17BirminghamR32grassLucia Bronzetti2-6 6-3 6-4
2024-03-06Indian WellsR128hardLucia Bronzetti6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Bronzetti L.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Frech M.

Frech M.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Bronzetti L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bronzetti L.Frech M.
12
Serve
32
14
Return
47

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
45%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Even
52%
53%
Aces / match·Even
2.2
2.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 57). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
55
55
Break points saved·Even
74
76
Break points won·Clear edge
84
71
Deciding sets·Clear edge
60
72
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
48
43

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1551
Surface ELO
7.5+149 Hard Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1622
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1725
10.0
H2H
0.0
3.4
Surface form
2.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.7
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
98

Bronzetti L.: 16 days rest · Frech M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%

Draw