Lucia Bronzetti vs Magdalena FrechIndian Wells Round of 128

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 128
#125WTA
1622ELO
1551Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 6 March 2024
hard
#44WTA
1725ELO
1700Hard ELO
$659kYTD
$4.8MCAREER
28 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWLWL
Bronzetti L.
6-2 6-4
Frech M.
Bronzetti L.
662
Frech M.
240

Lucia Bronzetti defeated Magdalena Frech 6-2 6-4 in the Indian Wells round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Magdalena Frech came in ranked #44, defending last year's round of 64. Lucia Bronzetti extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian WellsR64hardLucia Bronzetti6-3 7-5
2024-06-17BirminghamR32grassLucia Bronzetti2-6 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Bronzetti L.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Frech M.

Frech M.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Bronzetti L.

Serve advantage — Frech M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bronzetti L.Frech M.
12
Serve
32
14
Return
47

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
46%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Even
55%
54%
Aces / match·Even
2.0
2.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (140 vs 128). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
55
55
Break points saved·Even
74
76
Break points won·Clear edge
84
71
Deciding sets·Clear edge
60
72
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
48
43

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1551
Surface ELO
7.5+149 Hard Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1622
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1725
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.6
Surface form
6.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
8.8
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
98

Bronzetti L.: 16 days rest · Frech M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 17%

Draw