Louisa Chirico vs Lucrezia Stefanini — W75 Porto Quarter-final

W75 Porto · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
Louisa Chirico
USA
Louisa Chirico
#382WTA
1476ELO
1411Hard ELO
30 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 March 2025
hard
Lucrezia Stefanini
ITA
Lucrezia Stefanini
#145WTA
1527ELO
1497Hard ELO
28 yrs · 164 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWLW
Chirico L.
6-4 3-6 7-6
Stefanini L.
Chirico L.
63782
Stefanini L.
46661

Louisa Chirico defeated Lucrezia Stefanini 6-4 3-6 7-6 in the W75 Porto quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lucrezia Stefanini came in ranked #145.

Key context

  • Match story: Louisa Chirico closed it out in three sets, 6–4 3–6 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Chirico L.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Stefanini L.

Stefanini L.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Chirico L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Chirico L.Stefanini L.
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
43%
Service points won·Even
54%
53%
Return points won·Even
44%
47%
Break points saved·Even
55%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.9
1.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.6
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (59 vs 82). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Chirico L.Stefanini L.
Clutch Rating·Even
28
32
Break points saved·Clear edge
46
26
Break points won·Clear edge
74
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
19
61
Tiebreaks·Dominant
83
19

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Chirico L.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Stefanini L.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1411
Surface ELO
6.3+87 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1476
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1527
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.4
Surface form
5.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.7
7.0
3-set count
0.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Chirico L.Stefanini L.
Freshness·
—
86

Stefanini L.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Valentova T.
Schunk N.
6-36-4
Mboko V.
Dart H.
6-16-1
Semi-finals
Schunk N.
Paoletti M.
4-66-46-1
Valentova T.
Grant T.
6-26-2
Mboko V.
Koevermans A.
3-66-26-1
Dart H.
Chirico L.
6-767-626-4
Quarter-finals
Dart H.
Dartron E.
6-06-4
Chirico L.
Stefanini L.
6-43-67-66
Koevermans A.
Miller K.
6-16-736-4
Mboko V.
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
6-26-4
R16
Dart H.
Grant T.
3-0
Koevermans A.
Seidel E.
7-56-3
Chirico L.
Barthel M.
4-67-56-4
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
Mikulskyte J.
6-45-77-5
Mboko V.
Voloshchuk A.
7-56-3
Dartron E.
Jorge M.
6-24-66-4
Stefanini L.
Serban R.
2-66-26-1
Miller K.
Primorac I.
6-46-0
R32
Dart H.
Charaeva A.
2-66-27-63
Jorge M.
Von Deichmann K.
6-24-66-1
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
Hontama M.
6-46-1
Koevermans A.
Lazaro Garcia A.
6-06-2
Primorac I.
Hon P.
2-67-56-4
Barthel M.
Hartono A.
6-16-3
Voloshchuk A.
Laundes F.
6-16-0
Seidel E.
Jorge F.
7-626-3
Stefanini L.
Schunk N.
4-66-36-1
Chirico L.
Preston T.
6-17-5
Serban R.
Kraus S.
0-66-27-5
Grant T.
Rouvroy M.
6-46-2
Mikulskyte J.
Leonard M.
2-66-17-5
Dartron E.
Knutson G.
6-06-3
Miller K.
Cervino Ruiz C.
6-37-68
Mboko V.
Chwalinska M.
3-66-26-3