Pavel Kotov vs Yosuke WatanukiDubai Qualifying Round 1

Dubai · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
#246ATP
1597ELO
1601Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
#305ATP
1541ELO
1531Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLLLW
Kotov P.
6-3 6-3
Watanuki Y.
Kotov P.
662
Watanuki Y.
330

Pavel Kotov defeated Yosuke Watanuki 6-3 6-3 in the Dubai qualifying round 1 on hard. The result followed the form book — Pavel Kotov came in ranked #246, defending last year's round of 32. Pavel Kotov claimed a first win over Yosuke Watanuki in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersR128hardYosuke Watanuki6-7(6) 6-4 7-5
2023-04-24Madrid MastersQ2clayYosuke Watanuki6-7(7) 6-3 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Kotov P.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Watanuki Y.

Watanuki Y.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Kotov P.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
53%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.7
8.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (59 vs 61). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
59
52
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
89
Break points won·Slight edge
13
20
Deciding sets·Clear edge
82
61
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
76
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+70 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1531
5.7Overall Elo 1597
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1541
0.0
H2H
10.0
2.2
Surface form
5.3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
6.2
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
4.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Watanuki Y.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 63%