Tomas Machac vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaAcapulco Final

Acapulco · ATP · Final
#49ATP
1866ELO
1829Hard ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
#23ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Machac T.
7-6 6-2
Davidovich Fokina A.
Machac T.
7862
Davidovich Fokina A.
6620

Tomas Machac defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 7-6 6-2 in the Acapulco final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina came in ranked #23. Tomas Machac extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Tomas Machac closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–2.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersR64hardTomas Machac1-6 7-6(3) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Machac T.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Davidovich Fokina A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Machac T.

Serve advantage — Davidovich Fokina A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Machac T.Davidovich Fokina A.
30
Serve
40
25
Return
53

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.9
3.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (56 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
90
91
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Clear edge
80
95
Deciding sets·Even
94
91
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
97
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1829
Surface ELO
5.2+13 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1893
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.6
Surface form
7.8
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
70

Davidovich Fokina A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 67%