Tomas Machac vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaShanghai Masters Round of 64

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#49ATP
1866ELO
1829Hard ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 2 October 2024
hard
#23ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Machac T.
1-6 7-6 6-4
Davidovich Fokina A.
Machac T.
17762
Davidovich Fokina A.
66341

Tomas Machac defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1-6 7-6 6-4 in the Shanghai Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina came in ranked #23, defending last year's round of 64. Tomas Machac extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-24AcapulcoFhardTomas Machac7-6(6) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Machac T.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Davidovich Fokina A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Machac T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Machac T.Davidovich Fokina A.
30
Serve
40
25
Return
53

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.6
4.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (121 vs 128). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
90
91
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Clear edge
80
95
Deciding sets·Even
94
91
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
97
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1829
Surface ELO
5.2+13 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1893
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
4.9
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.0
Minutes 14d
7.8
0.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
70

Davidovich Fokina A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 50%