Luca Van Assche vs Jan Choinski — Lugano CH Round of 16

Lugano CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Luca Van Assche
FRA3
Luca Van Assche
#86ATP
1701ELO
1681Hard ELO
$411kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
22 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
Jan Choinski
GBR
Jan Choinski
#75ATP
1686ELO
1571Hard ELO
$204kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
Van Assche L.
6-3 6-1
Choinski J.
Van Assche L.
662
Choinski J.
310

Luca Van Assche defeated Jan Choinski 6-3 6-1 in the Lugano CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jan Choinski came in ranked #75, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Van Assche L.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Choinski J.

Choinski J.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Van Assche L.

Serve advantage — Van Assche L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Van Assche L.Choinski J.
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
4.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 97). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Van Assche L.Choinski J.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
67
55
Break points saved·Even
91
90
Break points won·Dominant
61
20
Deciding sets·Slight edge
79
88
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
51
41

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Van Assche L.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Choinski J.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+110 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1571
6.5Overall Elo 1701
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1686
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.4
Surface form
2.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
5.1
Minutes 14d
9.3
0.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Van Assche L.Choinski J.
Freshness·Clear edge
77
55

Van Assche L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Choinski J.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 113 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Coric B.[2]
Collignon R.[1]
6-36-1
Semi-finals
Collignon R.[1]
Cassone M.
7-634-66-3
Coric B.[2]
Prizmic D.
6-26-4
Quarter-finals
Collignon R.[1]
Draxl L.[8]
6-46-4
Cassone M.
Van Assche L.[3]
7-620-67-64
Prizmic D.
Gaubas V.[7]
6-26-3
Coric B.[2]
Squire H.[6]
6-26-2
R16
Collignon R.[1]
Durasovic V.
6-47-5
Gaubas V.[7]
Rottgering M.
6-727-56-4
Coric B.[2]
Escoffier A.
6-46-4
Draxl L.[8]
Ruusuvuori E.
6-47-62
Van Assche L.[3]
Choinski J.
6-36-1
Cassone M.
Grenier H.[5]
7-677-66
Squire H.[6]
Bertola R.
7-656-4
Prizmic D.
Blockx A.[4]
6-36-2
R32
Rottgering M.
Zhukayev B.
4-67-6107-65
Prizmic D.
Paul J.
6-36-2
Gaubas V.[7]
Stricker D.
6-31-66-2
Durasovic V.
Hassan B.
6-41-66-4
Ruusuvuori E.
Chidekh C.
6-33-66-4
Draxl L.[8]
Sakamoto R.
6-46-4
Choinski J.
Zahraj P.
6-26-736-3
Cassone M.
Berankis R.
6-16-2
Blockx A.[4]
Prado Angelo J.
6-26-3
Squire H.[6]
Andreev A.
6-37-5
Escoffier A.
Brunold M.
6-26-3
Bertola R.
Butvilas E.
2-67-57-64
Coric B.[2]
Onclin G.
6-46-2
Collignon R.[1]
Sachko V.
6-47-5
Grenier H.[5]
Cui J.
6-26-4
Van Assche L.[3]
Wu T.
2-66-26-0