Murphy Cassone vs Luca Van Assche — Lugano CH Quarter-final

Lugano CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
USA
Murphy Cassone
#287ATP
1429ELO
1393Hard ELO
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
Luca Van Assche
FRA3
Luca Van Assche
#86ATP
1701ELO
1681Hard ELO
$411kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
22 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWLWL
Cassone M.
7-6 0-6 7-6
Van Assche L.
Cassone M.
770772
Van Assche L.
626641

Murphy Cassone defeated Luca Van Assche 7-6 0-6 7-6 in the Lugano CH quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Luca Van Assche came in ranked #86.

Key context

  • Match story: Murphy Cassone closed it out in three sets, 7–6 0–6 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Cassone M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Van Assche L.

Van Assche L.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Cassone M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Cassone M.Van Assche L.
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.0
3.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (97 vs 94). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Cassone M.Van Assche L.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
31
68
Break points saved·Even
88
91
Break points won·Dominant
18
61
Deciding sets·Dominant
15
81
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
67
51

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Cassone M.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Van Assche L.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
1.7Hard Elo 1393
Surface ELO
8.3+289 Hard Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1429
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 1701
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
5.9
Surface form
3.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.6
Minutes 14d
5.1
0.0
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Cassone M.Van Assche L.
Freshness·Clear edge
91
77

Cassone M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Van Assche L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Coric B.[2]
Collignon R.[1]
6-36-1
Semi-finals
Collignon R.[1]
Cassone M.
7-634-66-3
Coric B.[2]
Prizmic D.
6-26-4
Quarter-finals
Collignon R.[1]
Draxl L.[8]
6-46-4
Cassone M.
Van Assche L.[3]
7-620-67-64
Prizmic D.
Gaubas V.[7]
6-26-3
Coric B.[2]
Squire H.[6]
6-26-2
R16
Collignon R.[1]
Durasovic V.
6-47-5
Gaubas V.[7]
Rottgering M.
6-727-56-4
Coric B.[2]
Escoffier A.
6-46-4
Draxl L.[8]
Ruusuvuori E.
6-47-62
Van Assche L.[3]
Choinski J.
6-36-1
Cassone M.
Grenier H.[5]
7-677-66
Squire H.[6]
Bertola R.
7-656-4
Prizmic D.
Blockx A.[4]
6-36-2
R32
Rottgering M.
Zhukayev B.
4-67-6107-65
Prizmic D.
Paul J.
6-36-2
Gaubas V.[7]
Stricker D.
6-31-66-2
Durasovic V.
Hassan B.
6-41-66-4
Ruusuvuori E.
Chidekh C.
6-33-66-4
Draxl L.[8]
Sakamoto R.
6-46-4
Choinski J.
Zahraj P.
6-26-736-3
Cassone M.
Berankis R.
6-16-2
Blockx A.[4]
Prado Angelo J.
6-26-3
Squire H.[6]
Andreev A.
6-37-5
Escoffier A.
Brunold M.
6-26-3
Bertola R.
Butvilas E.
2-67-57-64
Coric B.[2]
Onclin G.
6-46-2
Collignon R.[1]
Sachko V.
6-47-5
Grenier H.[5]
Cui J.
6-26-4
Van Assche L.[3]
Wu T.
2-66-26-0