Murphy Cassone vs Luca Van Assche — Pau CH Round of 32

Pau CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
USA
Murphy Cassone
#289ATP
1429ELO
1393Hard ELO
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 February 2025
hard
Luca Van Assche
FRA
Luca Van Assche
#80ATP
1701ELO
1681Hard ELO
$411kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
22 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWLW
Cassone M.
2-6 6-0 6-2
Van Assche L.
Cassone M.
2662
Van Assche L.
6021

Murphy Cassone defeated Luca Van Assche 2-6 6-0 6-2 in the Pau CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Luca Van Assche came in ranked #80.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Cassone M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Van Assche L.

Van Assche L.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Cassone M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Cassone M.Van Assche L.
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
42%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.1
3.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (97 vs 94). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Cassone M.Van Assche L.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
31
67
Break points saved·Even
88
91
Break points won·Dominant
18
61
Deciding sets·Dominant
15
79
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
67
51

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Cassone M.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Van Assche L.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
1.7Hard Elo 1393
Surface ELO
8.3+289 Hard Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1429
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 1701
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
4.3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
5.0
7.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Cassone M.Van Assche L.
Freshness·Clear edge
87
99

Cassone M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Van Assche L.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Collignon R.[2]
Zahraj P.
6-26-4
Semi-finals
Collignon R.[2]
Bouquier A.
6-47-65
Zahraj P.
Klein L.[8]
6-36-4
Quarter-finals
Zahraj P.
Fery A.
6-33-66-3
Bouquier A.
Cassone M.
4-67-696-2
Collignon R.[2]
Misolic F.
6-46-3
Klein L.[8]
Fearnley J.[1]
6-36-3
R16
Fearnley J.[1]
Karlovskiy E.
6-46-2
Klein L.[8]
Poullain L.
6-37-5
Cassone M.
Blockx A.[7]
6-26-2
Bouquier A.
Bertrand R.
5-77-637-68
Collignon R.[2]
Vatutin A.
6-06-1
Fery A.
Gasquet R.[3]
W/O
Misolic F.
Cachin P.
6-43-66-2
Zahraj P.
Mayot H.[5]
6-26-4
R32
Blockx A.[7]
Guinard M.
2-3
Poullain L.
Gaubas V.
5-76-26-0
Klein L.[8]
Escoffier A.
6-36-4
Gasquet R.[3]
Broom C.
6-37-64
Fery A.
Sun F.
6-11-66-3
Cassone M.
Van Assche L.
2-66-06-2
Bertrand R.
Delage P.
6-46-2
Bouquier A.
Landaluce M.[4]
6-736-37-5
Misolic F.
Butvilas E.
4-67-56-3
Collignon R.[2]
Beauge M.
7-634-66-3
Mayot H.[5]
Cui J.
6-26-2
Cachin P.
Barrere G.[6]
7-56-3
Zahraj P.
Kachmazov A.
6-36-1
Karlovskiy E.
Janvier M.
6-46-766-4
Vatutin A.
Herbert P.
6-47-65
Fearnley J.[1]
Pokorny L.
6-46-4