Clara Tauson vs Karolina MuchovaDubai Semi-final

Dubai · WTA · Semi-final
#25WTA
1802ELO
1775Hard ELO
$792kYTD
$5.2MCAREER
23 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 February 2025
hard
#9WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Tauson C.
6-4 6-7 6-3
Muchova K.
Tauson C.
66462
Muchova K.
47731

Clara Tauson defeated Karolina Muchova 6-4 6-7 6-3 in the Dubai semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Clara Tauson claimed a first win over Karolina Muchova in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Clara Tauson closed it out in three sets, 6–4 6–7 6–3.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-25Bad HomburgQFgrassKarolina Muchova1-6 6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Tauson C.serving80% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Muchova K.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Tauson C.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tauson C.Muchova K.
56
Serve
70
39
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
42%
42%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.0
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (65 vs 61). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
73
95
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
98
Break points won·Even
93
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
57
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
80
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.9Hard Elo 1775
Surface ELO
8.1+259 Hard Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1802
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 2066
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
5.0
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
51

Tauson C.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Muchova K.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 113 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw

Semi-finals
Tauson C.
Muchova K.[14]
6-46-746-3
Andreeva M.[12]
Rybakina E.[6]
6-44-66-3