Nicolas Jarry vs Juan Manuel CerundoloRio de Janeiro Round of 32

Rio de Janeiro · ATP · Round of 32
#764ATP
1648ELO
1642Clay ELO
$70kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 February 2025
clay
#45ATP
1790ELO
1762Clay ELO
$752kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWW
Jarry N.
4-6 6-3 6-4
Cerundolo J.
Jarry N.
4662
Cerundolo J.
6341

Nicolas Jarry defeated Juan Manuel Cerundolo 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the Rio de Janeiro round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Juan Manuel Cerundolo came in ranked #45.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Jarry N.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Cerundolo J.

Cerundolo J.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Jarry N.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Jarry N.Cerundolo J.
Serve
19
Return
49

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.6
3.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (45 vs 107). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
48
85
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
82
Break points won·Dominant
4
80
Deciding sets·Dominant
57
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
79
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1642
Surface ELO
5.5+120 Clay Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1648
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1790
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.5
Surface form
7.2
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
0.0
7.0
3-set count
0.0
6.0
Prev. match
2.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Cerundolo J.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
39°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 22%