Jack Draper vs Matteo BerrettiniDoha Quarter-final

Doha · ATP · Quarter-final
#131ATP
1822ELO
1783Hard ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 February 2025
hard
#51ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Draper J.
4-6 6-4 6-3
Berrettini M.
Draper J.
4662
Berrettini M.
6431

Jack Draper defeated Matteo Berrettini 4-6 6-4 6-3 in the Doha quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Berrettini came in ranked #51. Jack Draper extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR32clayJack Draper7-6(2) 0-0 RET
2024-06-10StuttgartFgrassJack Draper3-6 7-6(5) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Draper J.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Berrettini M.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Draper J.Berrettini M.
Serve
57
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
68%
Return points won·Even
38%
34%
Break points saved·Even
62%
66%
Aces / match·Even
8.1
8.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (46 vs 55). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
81
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
83
53
Deciding sets·Slight edge
96
91
Tiebreaks·Even
95
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0Hard Elo 1783
Surface ELO
4.0+15 Hard Elo edge
6.0Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1831
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.6
Surface form
4.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.6
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
73

Draper J.: 15 days rest · Berrettini M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CRain
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 77%