Jack Draper vs Matteo BerrettiniStuttgart Final

Stuttgart · ATP · Final
#131ATP
1822ELO
1704Grass ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 June 2024
grass
#51ATP
1831ELO
1739Grass ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Draper J.
3-6 7-6 6-4
Berrettini M.
Draper J.
37762
Berrettini M.
66541

Jack Draper defeated Matteo Berrettini 3-6 7-6 6-4 in the Stuttgart final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Berrettini came in ranked #51, defending last year's round of 32. Jack Draper extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR32clayJack Draper7-6(2) 0-0 RET
2025-02-17DohaQFhardJack Draper4-6 6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Draper J.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Berrettini M.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
67%
69%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
68%
Aces / match·Slight edge
8.2
9.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (107 vs 105). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
81
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
83
53
Deciding sets·Slight edge
96
91
Tiebreaks·Even
95
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.0Grass Elo 1704
Surface ELO
5.0+35 Grass Elo edge
6.0Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1831
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
7.5
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
76

Draper J.: 16 days rest · Berrettini M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast