Zhizhen Zhang vs Hubert HurkaczMarseille Round of 16

Marseille · ATP · Round of 16
#161ATP
1682ELO
1642Hard ELO
$546kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 February 2025
hard
#96ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
Zhang Z.
6-4 6-7 6-3
Hurkacz H.
Zhang Z.
66162
Hurkacz H.
47731

Zhizhen Zhang defeated Hubert Hurkacz 6-4 6-7 6-3 in the Marseille round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Hubert Hurkacz came in ranked #96, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's semi-final. Zhizhen Zhang narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Zhizhen Zhang closed it out in three sets, 6–4 6–7 6–3.

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-01United CupQFhardHubert Hurkacz6-3 6-4
2023-10-16TokyoR32hardZhizhen Zhang3-6 6-4 7-6(4)
2023-10-02Shanghai MastersR16hardHubert Hurkacz7-6(6) 4-6 7-6(4)
2019-10-07Shanghai MastersR64hardHubert Hurkacz7-6(5) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Zhang Z.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Hurkacz H.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Zhang Z.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zhang Z.Hurkacz H.
24
Serve
67
0
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Even
33%
35%
Break points saved·Even
64%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
11.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
100
Break points won·Dominant
14
40
Deciding sets·Even
91
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
43
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1642
Surface ELO
6.1+85 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1682
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1798
3.3
H2H
6.7
2.2
Surface form
6.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
5.8
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
5.6
Context
7.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
68

Zhang Z.: 19 days rest · Hurkacz H.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
12°CDrizzle
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 78%