Hubert Hurkacz vs Zhizhen ZhangUnited Cup Quarter-final

United Cup · ATP · Quarter-final
#96ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 January 2024
hard
#161ATP
1682ELO
1642Hard ELO
$546kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWW
Hurkacz H.
6-3 6-4
Zhang Z.
Hurkacz H.
662
Zhang Z.
340

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Zhizhen Zhang 6-3 6-4 in the United Cup quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Hubert Hurkacz came in ranked #96, defending last year's semi-final. Hubert Hurkacz extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-10MarseilleR16hardZhizhen Zhang6-4 6-7(1) 6-3
2023-10-16TokyoR32hardZhizhen Zhang3-6 6-4 7-6(4)
2023-10-02Shanghai MastersR16hardHubert Hurkacz7-6(6) 4-6 7-6(4)
2019-10-07Shanghai MastersR64hardHubert Hurkacz7-6(5) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving95% hold

wins 75% of points on serve vs Zhang Z.

Zhang Z.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Hurkacz H.Zhang Z.
67
Serve
24
0
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
69%
65%
Return points won·Even
35%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
12.5
7.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (106 vs 94). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
56
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
94
Break points won·Dominant
40
14
Deciding sets·Even
94
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
97
43

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 77 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
6.1+85 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1642
6.4Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1682
4.6
H2H
5.4
6.2
Surface form
6.0
0.0
Win streak
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
72
100

Hurkacz H.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 53 games (7d) · Zhang Z.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CDrizzle
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 72%