Holger Rune vs Lorenzo Sonego — Rotterdam Round of 32

Rotterdam · ATP · Round of 32
Holger Rune
DEN5
Holger Rune
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 February 2025
hard
Lorenzo Sonego
ITA
Lorenzo Sonego
#69ATP
1719ELO
1702Hard ELO
$435kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWLW
Rune H.
7-6 6-4
Sonego L.
Rune H.
7762
Sonego L.
6440

Holger Rune defeated Lorenzo Sonego 7-6 6-4 in the Rotterdam round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Holger Rune came in leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 16. Holger Rune extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-09-26SofiaR16hardHolger Rune6-7(1) 6-4 6-3
2021-09-20MetzR16hardHolger Rune6-7(6) 6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Sonego L.

Sonego L.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rune H.Sonego L.
47
Serve
41
58
Return
38

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rune H.Sonego L.
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
63%
67%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.2
6.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 58). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rune H.Sonego L.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
91
69
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
84
45
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
71
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rune H.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Sonego L.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+23 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1702
5.4Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1719
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.2
Surface form
6.9
0.0
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Prev. match
2.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rune H.Sonego L.
Freshness·
—
72

Sonego L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 42 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
2°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 90%
Final
Alcaraz C.[1]
De Minaur A.[3]
6-43-66-2
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Hurkacz H.[8]
6-46-756-3
De Minaur A.[3]
Bellucci M.
6-16-2
Quarter-finals
Hurkacz H.[8]
Rublev A.[4]
6-756-36-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Martinez P.
6-26-1
Bellucci M.
Tsitsipas S.[6]
6-46-2
De Minaur A.[3]
Altmaier D.
6-16-4
R16
Hurkacz H.[8]
Lehecka J.
7-52-0
Rublev A.[4]
Marozsan F.
7-627-67
De Minaur A.[3]
Mensik J.
6-46-4
Bellucci M.
Medvedev D.[2]
6-36-766-3
Tsitsipas S.[6]
Griekspoor T.
6-757-667-5
Alcaraz C.[1]
Vavassori A.
6-26-1
Altmaier D.
Fils A.[7]
6-43-67-5
Martinez P.
Rune H.[5]
6-46-1
R32
Vavassori A.
Auger Aliassime F.
6-736-40-0
Hurkacz H.[8]
Cobolli F.
6-36-2
Lehecka J.
Popyrin A.
7-56-2
Fils A.[7]
Lestienne C.
6-746-26-1
Altmaier D.
Kovacevic A.
1-66-46-3
Rune H.[5]
Sonego L.
7-646-4
Medvedev D.[2]
Wawrinka S.
6-786-46-1
Rublev A.[4]
Zhang Z.
6-36-4
Martinez P.
Bautista Agut R.
6-36-2
Griekspoor T.
Berrettini M.
6-36-727-64
Alcaraz C.[1]
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-633-66-1
Bellucci M.
Rottgering M.
6-36-2
De Minaur A.[3]
Goffin D.
6-26-4
Tsitsipas S.[6]
Mayot H.
6-17-5
Mensik J.
Bublik A.
6-46-4
Marozsan F.
Struff J.
6-34-67-63