Holger Rune vs Lorenzo SonegoSofia Round of 16

Sofia · ATP · Round of 16
#81ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 26 September 2022
hard
#83ATP
1719ELO
1702Hard ELO
$435kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWLLWL
Rune H.
6-7 6-4 6-3
Sonego L.
Rune H.
61662
Sonego L.
77431

Holger Rune defeated Lorenzo Sonego 6-7 6-4 6-3 in the Sofia round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Holger Rune came in ranked #81, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Holger Rune extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-03RotterdamR32hardHolger Rune7-6(4) 6-4
2021-09-20MetzR16hardHolger Rune6-7(6) 6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Sonego L.

Sonego L.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rune H.Sonego L.
47
Serve
41
58
Return
38

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
34%
Break points saved·Even
65%
65%
Aces / match·Even
5.9
6.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
91
69
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
84
45
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
71
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+23 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1702
5.4Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1719
10.0
H2H
0.0
3.9
Surface form
8.4
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
4.8
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
79

Sonego L.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast