Hubert Hurkacz vs Andrey RublevRotterdam Quarter-final

Rotterdam · ATP · Quarter-final
#96ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 February 2025
hard
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Hurkacz H.
6-7 6-3 6-4
Rublev A.
Hurkacz H.
65662
Rublev A.
77341

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Andrey Rublev 6-7 6-3 6-4 in the Rotterdam quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, defending last year's quarter-final. Hubert Hurkacz extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

42
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-16HalleR32grassHubert Hurkacz3-6 2-6
2023-10-02Shanghai MastersFhardHubert Hurkacz6-3 3-6 7-6(8)
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersR16hardAndrey Rublev7-6(5) 6-4
2022-02-21DubaiSFhardAndrey Rublev3-6 7-5 7-6(5)
2021-03-22Miami MastersSFhardHubert Hurkacz6-3 6-4
2020-09-14Rome MastersR32clayHubert Hurkacz7-6(6) 3-6 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Hurkacz H.Rublev A.
67
Serve
55
0
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
68%
67%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Even
67%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.4
7.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 80). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
88
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
40
72
Deciding sets·Even
94
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
97
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1727
Surface ELO
6.3+122 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1902
3.9
H2H
6.1
4.6
Surface form
3.4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.2
8.0
Prev. match
Country comfort
6.1
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
94

Hurkacz H.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 53 games (7d) · Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
2°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 90%