Hubert Hurkacz vs Andrey RublevMiami Masters Semi-final

Miami Masters · ATP · Semi-final
#96ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 22 March 2021
hard
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Hurkacz H.
6-3 6-4
Rublev A.
Hurkacz H.
662
Rublev A.
340

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Andrey Rublev 6-3 6-4 in the Miami Masters semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13. Hubert Hurkacz extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

42
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-16HalleR32grassHubert Hurkacz3-6 2-6
2025-02-03RotterdamQFhardHubert Hurkacz6-7(5) 6-3 6-4
2023-10-02Shanghai MastersFhardHubert Hurkacz6-3 3-6 7-6(8)
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersR16hardAndrey Rublev7-6(5) 6-4
2022-02-21DubaiSFhardAndrey Rublev3-6 7-5 7-6(5)
2020-09-14Rome MastersR32clayHubert Hurkacz7-6(6) 3-6 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Hurkacz H.Rublev A.
67
Serve
55
0
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
69%
67%
Return points won·Even
34%
38%
Break points saved·Even
68%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
14.0
7.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
88
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
40
72
Deciding sets·Even
94
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
97
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
94

Hurkacz H.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 53 games (7d) · Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 47%
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[21]
Bautista Agut R.[7]
5-76-46-4
Hurkacz H.[26]
Rublev A.[4]
6-36-4