Belinda Bencic vs Elena RybakinaAbu Dhabi Semi-final

Abu Dhabi · WTA · Semi-final
#11WTA
1989ELO
1952Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$17MCAREER
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 February 2025
hard
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Bencic B.
3-6 6-3 6-4
Rybakina E.
Bencic B.
3662
Rybakina E.
6341

Belinda Bencic defeated Elena Rybakina 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the Abu Dhabi semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, defending the title. Belinda Bencic extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-09-27Chicago 2QFhardElena Rybakina6-4 3-1
2021-07-24Tokyo OlympicsSFhardBelinda Bencic7-6(2) 4-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Bencic B.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Rybakina E.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Bencic B.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bencic B.Rybakina E.
57
Serve
100
55
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
64%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.0
7.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (68 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
92
Break points saved·Even
95
98
Break points won·Even
94
96
Deciding sets·Even
98
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1952
Surface ELO
7.3+158 Hard Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1989
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 2122
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.0
Surface form
7.4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
Country comfort
6.4
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
91

Bencic B.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 39%