Belinda Bencic vs Elena RybakinaTokyo Olympics Semi-final

Tokyo Olympics · WTA · Semi-final
#11WTA
1989ELO
1952Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$17MCAREER
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 24 July 2021
hard
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Bencic B.
7-6 4-6 6-3
Rybakina E.
Bencic B.
77462
Rybakina E.
62631

Belinda Bencic defeated Elena Rybakina 7-6 4-6 6-3 in the Tokyo Olympics semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2. Belinda Bencic extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Belinda Bencic closed it out in three sets, 7–6 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-03Abu DhabiSFhardBelinda Bencic3-6 6-3 6-4
2021-09-27Chicago 2QFhardElena Rybakina6-4 3-1

Serve vs return

This season
Bencic B.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Rybakina E.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Bencic B.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bencic B.Rybakina E.
57
Serve
100
55
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.9
6.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
92
Break points saved·Even
95
98
Break points won·Even
94
96
Deciding sets·Even
98
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1952
Surface ELO
7.3+158 Hard Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1989
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 2122
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
4.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
91

Bencic B.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Draw

Semi-finals
Bencic B.[9]
Rybakina E.[15]
7-624-66-3
Vondrousova M.
Svitolina E.[4]
6-36-1