Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Karolina MuchovaLinz Semi-final

Linz · WTA · Semi-final
#19WTA
1844ELO
1800Hard ELO
$761kYTD
$10MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 January 2025
hard
#6WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Alexandrova E.
6-0 6-4
Muchova K.
Alexandrova E.
662
Muchova K.
040

Ekaterina Alexandrova defeated Karolina Muchova 6-0 6-4 in the Linz semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Ekaterina Alexandrova narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneR16hardKarolina Muchova6-4 7-5
2021-04-19StuttgartR32clayEkaterina Alexandrova4-6 6-2 6-3
2019-10-14MoscowQFhardKarolina Muchova6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Alexandrova E.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Muchova K.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Alexandrova E.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alexandrova E.Muchova K.
52
Serve
70
42
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Even
58%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.7
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 61). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
65
95
Break points saved·Even
94
98
Break points won·Even
98
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
61
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
29
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.0Hard Elo 1800
Surface ELO
8.0+235 Hard Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1844
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 2066
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.7
Surface form
5.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
8.2
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
91
56

Alexandrova E.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Muchova K.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 80 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
5°CMainly clear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 81%