Aryna Sabalenka vs Clara Tauson — Australian Open Round of 32

Australian Open · WTA · Round of 32
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR1
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 January 2025
hard
Clara Tauson
DEN
Clara Tauson
#25WTA
1802ELO
1775Hard ELO
$792kYTD
$5.2MCAREER
23 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLLL
Sabalenka A.
7-6 6-4
Tauson C.
Sabalenka A.
7762
Tauson C.
6540

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Clara Tauson 7-6 6-4 in the Australian Open round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, defending the title. Aryna Sabalenka claimed a first win over Clara Tauson in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-17DubaiR16hardClara Tauson6-3 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving85% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Tauson C.

Tauson C.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Tauson C.
96
Serve
56
39
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sabalenka A.Tauson C.
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
6.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 65). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sabalenka A.Tauson C.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
98
73
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
93
Break points won·Slight edge
100
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
57
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
9.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Tauson C.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
10.0+426 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1775
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1802
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.4
Surface form
7.8
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.3
Minutes 14d
5.2
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.9
Country comfort
Context
Defending pts
6.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sabalenka A.Tauson C.
Freshness·Slight edge
88
98

Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Tauson C.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%

Draw

Final
Keys M.[19]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-32-67-5
Semi-finals
Keys M.[19]
Swiatek I.[2]
5-76-17-68
Sabalenka A.[1]
Badosa P.[11]
6-46-2
Quarter-finals
Keys M.[19]
Svitolina E.[28]
3-66-36-4
Swiatek I.[2]
Navarro E.[8]
6-16-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Pavlyuchenkova A.[27]
6-22-66-3
Badosa P.[11]
Gauff C.[3]
7-56-4
R16
Gauff C.[3]
Bencic B.
5-76-26-1
Keys M.[19]
Rybakina E.[6]
6-31-66-3
Swiatek I.[2]
Lys E.
6-06-1
Navarro E.[8]
Kasatkina D.[9]
6-45-77-5
Badosa P.[11]
Danilovic O.
6-17-62
Svitolina E.[28]
Kudermetova V.
6-46-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Andreeva M.[14]
6-16-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.[27]
Vekic D.[18]
7-606-0
R32
Bencic B.
Osaka N.
7-630-0
Badosa P.[11]
Kostyuk M.[17]
6-44-66-3
Danilovic O.
Pegula J.[7]
7-636-1
Kasatkina D.[9]
Putintseva Y.[24]
7-56-1
Gauff C.[3]
Fernandez L.[30]
6-46-2
Lys E.
Cristian J.
4-66-36-3
Keys M.[19]
Collins D.[10]
6-46-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.[27]
Siegemund L.
6-16-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Tauson C.
7-656-4
Swiatek I.[2]
Raducanu E.
6-16-0
Vekic D.[18]
Shnaider D.[12]
7-646-737-5
Andreeva M.[14]
Frech M.[23]
6-21-66-2
Navarro E.[8]
Jabeur O.
6-43-66-4
Rybakina E.[6]
Yastremska D.[32]
6-36-4
Svitolina E.[28]
Paolini J.[4]
2-66-46-0
Kudermetova V.
Haddad Maia B.[15]
6-46-2
R64
Danilovic O.
Samsonova L.[25]
6-16-2
Tauson C.
Maria T.
6-26-2
Raducanu E.
Anisimova A.
6-37-5
Collins D.[10]
Aiava D.
7-644-66-2
Jabeur O.
Osorio C.
7-56-3
Rybakina E.[6]
Jovic I.
6-06-3
Lys E.
Gracheva V.
6-23-66-4
Keys M.[19]
Ruse E.
7-612-67-5
Pegula J.[7]
Mertens E.
6-46-2
Osaka N.
Muchova K.[20]
1-66-16-3
Navarro E.[8]
Wang X.
6-33-66-4
Kudermetova V.
Boulter K.[22]
7-632-66-2
Paolini J.[4]
Zarazua R.
6-26-3
Cristian J.
Bronzetti L.
7-57-5
Andreeva M.[14]
Uchijima M.
6-43-67-68
Svitolina E.[28]
Dolehide C.
6-16-4
Shnaider D.[12]
Tomljanovic A.
6-47-5
Gauff C.[3]
Burrage J.
6-37-5
Badosa P.[11]
Gibson T.
6-16-0
Swiatek I.[2]
Sramkova R.
6-06-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.[27]
Potapova A.
7-622-66-2
Putintseva Y.[24]
Zhang S.
6-26-1
Frech M.[23]
Blinkova A.
0-66-06-2
Siegemund L.
Zheng Q.[5]
7-636-3
Kasatkina D.[9]
Wang Y.
6-26-0
Vekic D.[18]
Dart H.
4-66-06-2
Bencic B.
Lamens S.
6-17-63
Haddad Maia B.[15]
Andreeva E.
6-26-3
Kostyuk M.[17]
Niemeier J.
6-36-0
Yastremska D.[32]
Kovinic D.
6-06-1
Fernandez L.[30]
Bucsa C.
3-66-46-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-37-5
R128
Pavlyuchenkova A.[27]
Yuan Y.
6-44-66-3
Kasatkina D.[9]
Tomova V.
6-16-3
Rybakina E.[6]
Jones E.
6-16-1
Raducanu E.
Alexandrova E.[26]
7-647-62
Danilovic O.
Rus A.
6-46-4
Vekic D.[18]
Parry D.
6-46-4
Uchijima M.
Linette M.
4-66-27-68
Collins D.[10]
Snigur D.
7-646-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Stephens S.
6-36-2
Tomljanovic A.
Krueger A.
6-44-66-4
Muchova K.[20]
Podoroska N.
6-16-1
Burrage J.
Jeanjean L.
6-26-4
Mertens E.
Golubic V.
4-67-686-4
Kostyuk M.[17]
Hibino N.
3-66-36-1
Swiatek I.[2]
Siniakova K.
6-36-4
Sramkova R.
Volynets K.
3-66-26-2
Gracheva V.
Mcnally C.
6-36-4
Frech M.[23]
Kudermetova P.
6-46-4
Samsonova L.[25]
Rakhimova K.
6-26-4
Pegula J.[7]
Joint M.
6-36-0
Wang Y.
Bondar A.
3-66-36-4
Osorio C.
Sakkari M.[31]
6-46-746-4
Kudermetova V.
Gadecki O.
6-16-1
Anisimova A.
Carle M.
6-26-3
Bronzetti L.
Azarenka V.[21]
6-27-62
Badosa P.[11]
Wang X.
6-37-65
Keys M.[19]
Li A.
6-47-5
Dolehide C.
Bejlek S.
7-656-2
Paolini J.[4]
Wei S.
6-06-4
Potapova A.
Zidansek T.
6-27-5
Bencic B.
Ostapenko J.[16]
6-37-66
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Kartal S.
6-17-65
Boulter K.[22]
Marino R.
6-43-67-5
Tauson C.
Noskova L.[29]
5-76-36-4
Gibson T.
Sonmez Z.
3-67-656-1
Yastremska D.[32]
Sherif M.
6-16-4
Lys E.
Birrell K.
6-26-2
Jovic I.
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-26-1
Aiava D.
Minnen G.
5-77-57-65
Haddad Maia B.[15]
Riera J.
4-67-56-2
Niemeier J.
Chwalinska M.
6-06-1
Lamens S.
Erjavec V.
7-57-62
Fernandez L.[30]
Starodubtseva Y.
7-56-4
Jabeur O.
Kalinina A.
6-36-3
Siegemund L.
Baptiste H.
4-67-56-4
Wang X.
Grabher J.
6-17-5
Bucsa C.
Paquet C.
6-26-3
Dart H.
Fett J.
7-52-67-67
Navarro E.[8]
Stearns P.
6-757-657-5
Gauff C.[3]
Kenin S.
6-36-3
Osaka N.
Garcia C.
6-33-66-3
Maria T.
Pera B.
7-636-4
Ruse E.
Begu I.
6-46-0
Cristian J.
Martic P.
6-24-67-67
Andreeva E.
Zheng S.
6-17-66
Blinkova A.
Saville D.
1-66-47-5
Andreeva M.[14]
Bouzkova M.
6-36-3
Shnaider D.[12]
Cocciaretto E.
7-646-4
Zheng Q.[5]
Todoni A.
7-636-1
Zhang S.
Kessler M.
6-36-4
Putintseva Y.[24]
Avanesyan E.
4-67-56-2
Zarazua R.
Townsend T.
6-766-16-2
Svitolina E.[28]
Cirstea S.
6-46-4
Kovinic D.
Sun L.
6-37-5