Alex De Minaur vs Alex Michelsen — Australian Open Round of 16

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 16
Alex De Minaur
AUS8
Alex De Minaur
#5ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 January 2025
hard
Alex Michelsen
USA
Alex Michelsen
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
De Minaur A.
6-0 7-6 6-3
Michelsen A.
De Minaur A.
67763
Michelsen A.
06530

Alex De Minaur defeated Alex Michelsen 6-0 7-6 6-3 in the Australian Open round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #5, defending last year's round of 16. Alex De Minaur extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR128clayAlex De Minaur6-1 6-0 6-2
2024-02-19Los CabosR16hardAlex Michelsen6-4 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Michelsen A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve advantage — De Minaur A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Michelsen A.
48
Serve
34
80
Return
46

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
De Minaur A.Michelsen A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.0
5.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
De Minaur A.Michelsen A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
95
78
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Dominant
97
46
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
91
Tiebreaks·Even
99
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
De Minaur A.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Michelsen A.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+125 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1810
7.0Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1825
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.9
Surface form
6.8
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
3.7
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
8.1
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
De Minaur A.Michelsen A.
Freshness·Clear edge
83
70

De Minaur A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Michelsen A.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Zverev A.[2]
6-37-646-3
Semi-finals
Zverev A.[2]
Djokovic N.[7]
7-650-0
Sinner J.[1]
Shelton B.[21]
7-626-26-2
Quarter-finals
Sinner J.[1]
De Minaur A.[8]
6-36-26-1
Shelton B.[21]
Sonego L.
6-47-54-67-64
Djokovic N.[7]
Alcaraz C.[3]
4-66-46-36-4
Zverev A.[2]
Paul T.[12]
7-617-602-66-1
R16
Shelton B.[21]
Monfils G.
7-636-737-621-0
Alcaraz C.[3]
Draper J.[15]
7-56-10-0
Sonego L.
Tien L.
6-36-23-66-1
Zverev A.[2]
Humbert U.[14]
6-12-66-36-2
Sinner J.[1]
Rune H.[13]
6-33-66-36-2
Paul T.[12]
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-16-16-1
De Minaur A.[8]
Michelsen A.
6-07-656-3
Djokovic N.[7]
Lehecka J.[24]
6-36-47-64
R32
Humbert U.[14]
Fils A.[20]
4-67-56-41-0
Paul T.[12]
Carballes Baena R.
7-606-26-0
Lehecka J.[24]
Bonzi B.
6-26-36-3
Michelsen A.
Khachanov K.[19]
6-37-656-2
Davidovich Fokina A.
Mensik J.
3-64-67-676-46-2
Draper J.[15]
Vukic A.
6-42-65-77-657-68
Shelton B.[21]
Musetti L.[16]
6-33-66-47-65
Sinner J.[1]
Giron M.
6-36-46-2
Monfils G.
Fritz T.[4]
3-67-57-616-4
Tien L.
Moutet C.
7-6106-36-3
Rune H.[13]
Kecmanovic M.
6-756-34-66-46-4
De Minaur A.[8]
Cerundolo F.[31]
5-77-636-36-3
Djokovic N.[7]
Machac T.[26]
6-16-46-4
Zverev A.[2]
Fearnley J.
6-36-46-4
Sonego L.
Marozsan F.
6-737-666-16-2
Alcaraz C.[3]
Borges N.
6-26-46-736-2
R64
Carballes Baena R.
Duckworth J.
6-46-27-5
Lehecka J.[24]
Gaston H.
6-33-1
Cerundolo F.[31]
Diaz Acosta F.
6-21-0
Bonzi B.
Passaro F.
6-26-43-66-4
Rune H.[13]
Berrettini M.
7-632-66-37-66
De Minaur A.[8]
Boyer T.
6-26-46-3
Khachanov K.[19]
Diallo G.
7-644-66-36-3
Fritz T.[4]
Garin C.
6-26-16-0
Moutet C.
Krueger M.
4-66-47-636-4
Fils A.[20]
Halys Q.
6-24-67-627-5
Tien L.
Medvedev D.[5]
6-37-646-781-67-67
Zverev A.[2]
Martinez P.
6-16-46-1
Monfils G.
Altmaier D.
7-56-37-63
Davidovich Fokina A.
Auger Aliassime F.[29]
6-776-756-46-16-3
Marozsan F.
Tiafoe F.[17]
6-736-43-66-46-1
Vukic A.
Korda S.[22]
6-43-62-66-37-5
Paul T.[12]
Nishikori K.
6-736-06-36-1
Michelsen A.
Mccabe J.
7-56-37-64
Sinner J.[1]
Schoolkate T.
4-66-46-16-3
Draper J.[15]
Kokkinakis T.
6-736-33-67-56-3
Kecmanovic M.
Hurkacz H.[18]
6-46-46-2
Humbert U.[14]
Habib H.
6-36-46-4
Alcaraz C.[3]
Nishioka Y.
6-06-16-4
Borges N.
Thompson J.[27]
6-36-26-4
Machac T.[26]
Opelka R.
3-67-616-757-646-4
Sonego L.
Fonseca J.
6-766-36-13-66-3
Djokovic N.[7]
Faria J.
6-16-746-36-2
Fearnley J.
Cazaux A.
3-67-56-26-3
Shelton B.[21]
Carreno Busta P.
6-36-36-746-4
Mensik J.
Ruud C.[6]
6-23-66-16-4
Musetti L.[16]
Shapovalov D.
7-637-666-2
Giron M.
Etcheverry T.
7-53-67-53-66-4
R128
Faria J.
Kotov P.
6-16-17-5
Davidovich Fokina A.
Shang J.
7-615-2
Passaro F.
Dimitrov G.[10]
7-52-1
Martinez P.
Darderi L.
6-34-1
Halys Q.
Walton A.
4-64-66-47-647-5
Nishioka Y.
Dougaz A.
3-66-47-636-3
Khachanov K.[19]
Mannarino A.
7-656-36-3
Altmaier D.
Comesana F.
6-23-67-644-66-4
Fils A.[20]
Virtanen O.
3-67-646-46-4
De Minaur A.[8]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-17-56-4
Hurkacz H.[18]
Griekspoor T.
7-56-46-4
Fritz T.[4]
Brooksby J.
6-26-06-3
Lehecka J.[24]
Tu L.
6-13-66-37-61
Fearnley J.
Kyrgios N.
7-636-37-62
Shelton B.[21]
Nakashima B.
7-637-57-5
Carballes Baena R.
Tabilo A.[23]
1-66-26-37-61
Thompson J.[27]
Koepfer D.
7-636-44-66-3
Kokkinakis T.
Safiullin R.
3-66-36-37-65
Rune H.[13]
Zhang Z.
4-66-36-43-66-4
Machac T.[26]
Nagal S.
6-36-17-5
Borges N.
Muller A.
6-726-36-27-5
Giron M.
Hanfmann Y.
2-67-56-17-5
Mensik J.
Basilashvili N.
6-16-736-36-3
Kecmanovic M.
Lajovic D.
7-53-66-33-66-3
Nishikori K.
Monteiro T.
4-66-747-56-26-3
Shapovalov D.
Bautista Agut R.
3-66-46-47-68
Cerundolo F.[31]
Bublik A.
7-616-36-2
Michelsen A.
Tsitsipas S.[11]
7-56-32-66-4
Paul T.[12]
Oconnell C.
6-23-66-16-757-5
Marozsan F.
Seyboth Wild T.
6-36-757-55-77-5
Draper J.[15]
Navone M.
4-66-33-66-36-2
Musetti L.[16]
Arnaldi M.
7-644-67-656-3
Duckworth J.
Stricker D.
6-26-46-2
Korda S.[22]
Klein L.
6-30-66-37-66
Vukic A.
Dzumhur D.
6-736-03-66-36-4
Medvedev D.[5]
Samrej K.
6-24-63-66-16-2
Zverev A.[2]
Pouille L.
6-46-46-4
Garin C.
Coric B.
7-56-16-2
Carreno Busta P.
Majchrzak K.
6-46-46-3
Habib H.
Yunchaokete B.
7-646-47-66
Diaz Acosta F.
Bergs Z.
6-756-41-66-36-4
Opelka R.
Onclin G.
3-67-646-36-2
Monfils G.
Mpetshi Perricard G.[30]
7-676-36-766-756-4
Berrettini M.
Norrie C.
6-746-46-16-3
Bonzi B.
Goffin D.
6-16-27-67
Fonseca J.
Rublev A.[9]
7-616-37-65
Djokovic N.[7]
Basavareddy N.
4-66-36-46-2
Cazaux A.
Baez S.[28]
6-35-73-66-06-3
Sinner J.[1]
Jarry N.
7-627-656-1
Boyer T.
Coria F.
6-36-734-67-56-1
Gaston H.
Jasika O.
6-23-66-26-2
Mccabe J.
Landaluce M.
6-46-36-4
Moutet C.
Popyrin A.[25]
4-66-36-46-4
Tien L.
Ugo Carabelli C.
4-67-636-35-76-4
Sonego L.
Wawrinka S.
6-45-77-57-5
Auger Aliassime F.[29]
Struff J.
6-36-04-66-1
Alcaraz C.[3]
Shevchenko A.
6-17-56-1
Diallo G.
Nardi L.
6-717-635-76-16-2
Schoolkate T.
Daniel T.
6-767-646-16-4
Ruud C.[6]
Munar J.
6-31-67-52-66-1
Tiafoe F.[17]
Rinderknech A.
7-626-34-66-746-3
Etcheverry T.
Cobolli F.[32]
6-786-37-56-1
Krueger M.
Hijikata R.
6-46-46-3
Humbert U.[14]
Gigante M.
7-657-56-4