Alex Michelsen vs Alex De MinaurLos Cabos Round of 16

Los Cabos · ATP · Round of 16
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 February 2024
hard
#5ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Michelsen A.
6-4 6-1
De Minaur A.
Michelsen A.
662
De Minaur A.
410

Alex Michelsen defeated Alex De Minaur 6-4 6-1 in the Los Cabos round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's final. Alex Michelsen claimed a first win over Alex De Minaur in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-13Australian OpenR16hardAlex De Minaur6-0 7-6(5) 6-3
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR128clayAlex De Minaur6-1 6-0 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Michelsen A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

De Minaur A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Serve advantage — De Minaur A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Michelsen A.De Minaur A.
34
Serve
48
46
Return
80

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
56%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.9
4.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (157 vs 166). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
95
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Dominant
46
97
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
97
Tiebreaks·Even
95
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1810
Surface ELO
6.7+125 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1961
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
7.9
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
4.8
4.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
66
80

Michelsen A.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d) · De Minaur A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast