Felix Auger Aliassime vs Tommy PaulAdelaide Semi-final

Adelaide · ATP · Semi-final
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 January 2025
hard
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Auger Aliassime F.
7-6 3-6 6-4
Paul T.
Auger Aliassime F.
77362
Paul T.
63641

Felix Auger Aliassime defeated Tommy Paul 7-6 3-6 6-4 in the Adelaide semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Felix Auger Aliassime came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Felix Auger Aliassime extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersR16hardFelix Auger Aliassime3-6 6-3 7-6(6)

Serve vs return

This season
Auger Aliassime F.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Auger Aliassime F.Paul T.
74
Serve
71
44
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
69%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Even
67%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.0
6.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (97 vs 66). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
84
93
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
50
87
Deciding sets·Even
99
98
Tiebreaks·Even
99
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
5.9+51 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1881
5.7Overall Elo 1958
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1949
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.8
Surface form
5.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Country comfort
6.1
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
53
84

Auger Aliassime F.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 112 games (7d) · Paul T.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 58%