Felix Auger Aliassime vs Tommy Paul — Indian Wells Masters Round of 16

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 16
Felix Auger Aliassime
CAN8
Felix Auger Aliassime
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
hard
Tommy Paul
USA17
Tommy Paul
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Auger Aliassime F.
3-6 6-3 7-6
Paul T.
Auger Aliassime F.
36782
Paul T.
63661

Felix Auger Aliassime defeated Tommy Paul 3-6 6-3 7-6 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Felix Auger Aliassime came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64. Felix Auger Aliassime extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-06AdelaideSFhardFelix Auger Aliassime7-6(3) 3-6 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Auger Aliassime F.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Auger Aliassime F.Paul T.
74
Serve
71
44
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Auger Aliassime F.Paul T.
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Even
64%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.3
6.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (197 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Auger Aliassime F.Paul T.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
84
93
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
50
87
Deciding sets·Even
99
98
Tiebreaks·Even
99
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Auger Aliassime F.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Paul T.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.9+51 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1881
5.7Overall Elo 1958
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1949
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
7.8
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.3
Minutes 14d
4.0
4.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
5.6
Country comfort
7.3
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Auger Aliassime F.Paul T.
Freshness·Clear edge
70
91

Auger Aliassime F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 57 games (7d) · Paul T.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 33%
Final
Alcaraz C.[1]
Medvedev D.[5]
6-36-2
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Sinner J.[11]
7-646-3
Medvedev D.[5]
Tiafoe F.[14]
7-57-64
Quarter-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
6-46-4
Sinner J.[11]
Fritz T.[4]
6-44-66-4
Medvedev D.[5]
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
6-37-5
Tiafoe F.[14]
Norrie C.[10]
6-46-4
R16
Alcaraz C.[1]
Draper J.
6-22-0
Medvedev D.[5]
Zverev A.[12]
6-757-657-5
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
Garin C.
6-36-4
Norrie C.[10]
Rublev A.[6]
6-26-4
Sinner J.[11]
Wawrinka S.
6-16-4
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Paul T.[17]
3-66-37-66
Fritz T.[4]
Fucsovics M.
6-46-3
Tiafoe F.[14]
Tabilo A.
6-46-4
R32
Draper J.
Murray A.
7-666-2
Fritz T.[4]
Baez S.[30]
6-16-2
Sinner J.[11]
Mannarino A.
7-676-4
Medvedev D.[5]
Ivashka I.
6-23-66-1
Zverev A.[12]
Ruusuvuori E.
7-51-67-5
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
Khachanov K.[13]
6-31-66-4
Garin C.
Ruud C.[3]
6-47-62
Rublev A.[6]
Humbert U.
7-56-3
Norrie C.[10]
Daniel T.
6-757-56-2
Alcaraz C.[1]
Griekspoor T.[31]
7-646-3
Paul T.[17]
Hurkacz H.[9]
4-66-26-4
Fucsovics M.
Molcan A.
6-46-2
Tiafoe F.[14]
Kubler J.
6-36-2
Tabilo A.
Thompson J.
6-37-66
Wawrinka S.
Rune H.[7]
6-26-757-5
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Cerundolo F.[27]
7-56-4
R64
Hurkacz H.[9]
Popyrin A.
6-36-3
Molcan A.
Coric B.[18]
6-36-3
Fucsovics M.
De Minaur A.[16]
6-46-2
Sinner J.[11]
Gasquet R.
6-37-62
Mannarino A.
Musetti L.[19]
6-46-4
Ruusuvuori E.
Bautista Agut R.[22]
7-656-2
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
Wu Y.
6-46-1
Garin C.
Nishioka Y.[29]
6-46-0
Rublev A.[6]
Lehecka J.
6-46-2
Daniel T.
Berrettini M.[20]
7-650-66-3
Norrie C.[10]
Wu T.
6-26-4
Tiafoe F.[14]
Giron M.
6-26-2
Tabilo A.
Cressy M.[32]
7-637-613
Thompson J.
Tsitsipas S.[2]
7-604-67-65
Ivashka I.
Van De Zandschulp B.[28]
7-53-2
Kubler J.
Dimitrov G.[21]
2-67-653-0
Draper J.
Evans D.[24]
6-46-2
Murray A.
Albot R.
6-46-3
Griekspoor T.[31]
Pella G.
7-637-64
Alcaraz C.[1]
Kokkinakis T.
6-36-3
Fritz T.[4]
Shelton B.
4-66-46-3
Baez S.[30]
Hijikata R.
6-36-1
Wawrinka S.
Kecmanovic M.[26]
7-686-4
Rune H.[7]
Mcdonald M.
7-56-3
Medvedev D.[5]
Nakashima B.
6-46-3
Zverev A.[12]
Cachin P.
6-36-1
Khachanov K.[13]
Otte O.
6-36-3
Ruud C.[3]
Schwartzman D.
6-26-3
Humbert U.
Shapovalov D.[25]
7-56-4
Paul T.[17]
Struff J.
6-36-3
Cerundolo F.[27]
Sock J.
4-66-36-4
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Martinez P.
7-656-4
R128
Kokkinakis T.
Holt B.
6-46-1
Draper J.
Riedi L.
6-16-1
Popyrin A.
Zhang Z.
6-45-76-1
Struff J.
Halys Q.
1-66-36-3
Molcan A.
Ramos A.
6-36-2
Fucsovics M.
Wolf J.
1-66-06-3
Mcdonald M.
Krajinovic F.
6-36-0
Nakashima B.
Isner J.
7-676-3
Ruusuvuori E.
Lestienne C.
6-44-1
Cachin P.
Basilashvili N.
7-56-3
Otte O.
Djere L.
6-37-5
Thompson J.
Monfils G.
6-36-1
Gasquet R.
Gojo B.
6-46-756-2
Kubler J.
Sonego L.
6-47-64
Murray A.
Etcheverry T.
6-756-16-4
Hijikata R.
Ymer M.
6-47-5
Lehecka J.
Rinderknech A.
7-647-5
Martinez P.
Huesler M.
7-643-66-4
Wu T.
Bublik A.
6-46-4
Pella G.
Monteiro T.
3-67-56-2
Shelton B.
Fognini F.
6-46-1
Mannarino A.
Thiem D.
4-66-47-65
Wawrinka S.
Vukic A.
6-41-66-1
Ivashka I.
Safiullin R.
6-46-2
Wu Y.
Munar J.
6-766-07-63
Garin C.
Galan D.
6-46-2
Schwartzman D.
Coria F.
6-16-2
Humbert U.
Zapata Miralles B.
6-27-66
Daniel T.
Carballes Baena R.
6-17-5
Giron M.
Kovacevic A.
6-37-5
Tabilo A.
Marterer M.
6-46-3
Sock J.
Barrere G.
6-46-2