Cameron Norrie vs Learner TienHong Kong Round of 32

Hong Kong · ATP · Round of 32
#29ATP
1829ELO
1789Hard ELO
$963kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024
hard
#17ATP
1941ELO
1904Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.4MCAREER
20 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
Norrie C.
6-3 7-5
Tien L.
Norrie C.
672
Tien L.
350

Cameron Norrie defeated Learner Tien 6-3 7-5 in the Hong Kong round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Learner Tien came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 3–0, but Cameron Norrie had arrived on a 4-match winning run. Cameron Norrie claimed a first win over Learner Tien in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-02MetzFhardLearner Tien6-3 3-6 7-6(6)
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR32hardLearner Tien7-6(4) 6-3
2025-02-24AcapulcoR32hardLearner Tien7-6(5) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Norrie C.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Tien L.

Tien L.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Norrie C.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Norrie C.Tien L.
45
Serve
32
34
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
66%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.3
4.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (132 vs 142). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
89
90
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Even
83
83
Deciding sets·Even
98
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1789
Surface ELO
5.9+115 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1829
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1941
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
6.1
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.1
3-set count
0.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
87

Norrie C.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Tien L.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast