Joao Fonseca vs Jacob FearnleyCanberra CH Semi-final

Canberra CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#27ATP
1928ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024
hard
#159ATP
1600ELO
1565Hard ELO
$342kYTD
$1.8MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWLW
Fonseca J.
6-3 6-3
Fearnley J.
Fonseca J.
662
Fearnley J.
330

Joao Fonseca defeated Jacob Fearnley 6-3 6-3 in the Canberra CH semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Joao Fonseca came in ranked #27, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Joao Fonseca extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR128grassJoao Fonseca6-4 6-1 7-6(5)
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR128hardJoao Fonseca6-2 1-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Fonseca J.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Fearnley J.

Fearnley J.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Fonseca J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fonseca J.Fearnley J.
47
Serve
3
38
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
49%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Even
5.6
5.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (129 vs 120). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
76
85
Break points saved·Even
97
96
Break points won·Dominant
43
70
Deciding sets·Slight edge
89
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
9.2+349 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.8Hard Elo 1565
8.8Overall Elo 1928
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1600
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.6
Surface form
6.8
10.08-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.4
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
89
42

Fonseca J.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Fearnley J.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 104 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast