Joao Fonseca vs Jacob FearnleyIndian Wells Masters Round of 128

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#27ATP
1928ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#159ATP
1600ELO
1565Hard ELO
$342kYTD
$1.8MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWLW
Fonseca J.
6-2 1-6 6-3
Fearnley J.
Fonseca J.
6162
Fearnley J.
2631

Joao Fonseca defeated Jacob Fearnley 6-2 1-6 6-3 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Joao Fonseca came in ranked #27, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Joao Fonseca extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Joao Fonseca closed it out in three sets, 6–2 1–6 6–3.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR128grassJoao Fonseca6-4 6-1 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Fonseca J.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Fearnley J.

Fearnley J.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Fonseca J.

Serve advantage — Fonseca J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fonseca J.Fearnley J.
47
Serve
3
38
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
58%
Aces / match·Even
5.8
5.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (64 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
76
85
Break points saved·Even
97
96
Break points won·Dominant
43
70
Deciding sets·Slight edge
89
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.2+349 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.8Hard Elo 1565
8.8Overall Elo 1928
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1600
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.2
Surface form
6.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
89
42

Fonseca J.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Fearnley J.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 104 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%