Kimberly Birrell vs Anastasia Potapova — Brisbane Round of 16

Brisbane · WTA · Round of 16
Kimberly Birrell
AUS
Kimberly Birrell
#72WTA
1754ELO
1752Hard ELO
28 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024
hard
Anastasia Potapova
RUS
Anastasia Potapova
#28WTA
1904ELO
1804Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
Birrell K.
7-6 6-2
Potapova A.
Birrell K.
7762
Potapova A.
6220

Kimberly Birrell defeated Anastasia Potapova 7-6 6-2 in the Brisbane round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Anastasia Potapova came in ranked #28. Kimberly Birrell extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-12AdelaideR32hardKimberly Birrell6-4 6-4
2025-03-18MiamiR128hardKimberly Birrell3-6 6-3 7-6(5)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Birrell K.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Potapova A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Birrell K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Birrell K.Potapova A.
22
Serve
11
43
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Birrell K.Potapova A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
45%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.6
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.3
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (133 vs 113). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Birrell K.Potapova A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
65
81
Break points saved·Clear edge
77
89
Break points won·Slight edge
83
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
65
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
77
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Birrell K.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Potapova A.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 84 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1752
Surface ELO
5.3+53 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1754
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1904
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
5.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.3
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Birrell K.Potapova A.
Freshness·Slight edge
94
99

Birrell K.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Potapova A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw

Final
Rybakina E.[2]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-06-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kudermetova P.
4-66-36-2
Semi-finals
Rybakina E.[2]
Noskova L.
6-36-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Azarenka V.[8]
6-26-4
Kudermetova P.
Kalinina A.
6-46-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Andreeva M.[8]
6-36-2
Quarter-finals
Rybakina E.[2]
Potapova A.[11]
6-1
Azarenka V.[8]
Ostapenko J.[3]
6-33-67-5
Noskova L.
Andreeva M.
7-56-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kasatkina D.[5]
6-16-4
Kalinina A.
Birrell K.
4-66-17-5
Andreeva M.[8]
Jabeur O.
6-47-62
Kudermetova P.
Krueger A.
7-656-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bouzkova M.
6-36-4
R16
Ostapenko J.[3]
Pliskova K.[16]
6-24-66-3
Potapova A.[11]
Kudermetova V.[6]
7-56-776-4
Noskova L.
Riera J.
6-16-746-3
Azarenka V.[8]
Burel C.
7-56-2
Kasatkina D.[5]
Linette M.[9]
6-46-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Zhu L.[15]
6-16-0
Andreeva M.
Rodionova A.
6-16-1
Rybakina E.[2]
Mertens E.[13]
6-16-0
Kudermetova P.
Kasatkina D.[3]
1-66-27-5
Sabalenka A.[1]
Putintseva Y.[15]
7-626-4
Bouzkova M.
Azarenka V.[10]
6-46-4
Andreeva M.[8]
Noskova L.[12]
6-36-0
Jabeur O.
Avanesyan E.
6-41-66-4
Kalinina A.
Yuan Y.
6-16-4
Krueger A.
Lamens S.
7-56-0
Birrell K.
Potapova A.
7-626-2
R32
Pliskova K.[16]
Osaka N.
3-67-646-4
Kasatkina D.[5]
Kostyuk M.
6-36-4
Kudermetova V.[6]
Schmiedlova A.
6-26-3
Ostapenko J.[3]
Giorgi C.
6-16-4
Mertens E.[13]
Stephens S.
2-66-16-3
Burel C.
Kalinina A.[12]
6-46-1
Riera J.
Alexandrova E.[7]
6-36-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bronzetti L.
6-36-0
Azarenka V.[8]
Kalinskaya A.
6-17-68
Potapova A.[11]
Saville D.
6-43-66-4
Rybakina E.[2]
Gadecki O.
6-46-1
Linette M.[9]
Bucsa C.
6-37-5
Rodionova A.
Kenin S.[14]
7-57-67
Zhu L.[15]
Collins D.
1-66-37-67
Noskova L.
Cirstea S.[10]
6-44-66-4
Andreeva M.
Samsonova L.[4]
6-26-1
Noskova L.[12]
Todoni A.
6-16-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Zarazua R.
6-46-0
Bouzkova M.
Ostapenko J.[7]
7-606-4
Kasatkina D.[3]
Stearns P.
7-674-67-5
Andreeva M.[8]
Blinkova A.
6-46-4
Krueger A.
Kalinskaya A.[6]
6-36-3
Azarenka V.[10]
Joint M.
6-756-26-4
Putintseva Y.[15]
Kessler M.
6-27-5
Yuan Y.
Kostyuk M.[9]
6-46-3
Kalinina A.
Shnaider D.[5]
6-34-66-1
Birrell K.
Navarro E.[2]
7-57-5
Jabeur O.
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-36-2
Potapova A.
Yastremska D.[16]
7-56-4
Avanesyan E.
Badosa P.[4]
6-31-66-2
Lamens S.
Frech M.[11]
7-56-3
Kudermetova P.
Samsonova L.[13]
6-776-36-2
R64
Riera J.
Tomova V.
6-26-4
Gadecki O.
Birrell K.
4-66-06-4
Osaka N.
Korpatsch T.
6-37-69
Bucsa C.
Minnen G.
5-76-36-1
Bronzetti L.
Krueger A.
6-47-5
Kostyuk M.
Bogdan A.
4-66-36-3
Giorgi C.
Stearns P.
5-76-26-3
Burel C.
Sonmez Z.
6-46-2
Noskova L.
Babos T.
5-77-687-62
Andreeva M.
Shnaider D.
6-26-3
Schmiedlova A.
Dolehide C.
3-66-46-2
Saville D.
Yastremska D.
6-06-4
Stephens S.
Siniakova K.
7-56-3
Collins D.
Baptiste H.
6-14-66-3
Kalinskaya A.
Pera B.
6-26-1
Rodionova A.
Trevisan M.
6-36-2
Kalinina A.
Wang Y.
6-42-0
Potapova A.
Bogdan A.
2-66-42-0
Bouzkova M.
Gibson T.
7-653-66-3
Kudermetova P.
Wang X.
6-16-3
Joint M.
Inglis M.
6-36-4
Birrell K.
Hon P.
3-67-56-2
Krueger A.
Uchijima M.
6-31-66-3
Jabeur O.
Zheng S.
7-656-4
Zarazua R.
Tomova V.
6-06-3
Stearns P.
Kudermetova V.
6-26-3
Lamens S.
Rakhimova K.
6-26-4
Blinkova A.
Bejlek S.
6-17-65
Kessler M.
Linette M.
6-46-4
Avanesyan E.
Sramkova R.
1-66-26-2
Yuan Y.
Rus A.
6-26-4
Todoni A.
Bucsa C.
7-636-2