Andrey Rublev vs Lorenzo SonegoMetz Round of 16

Metz · ATP · Round of 16
#16ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 4 November 2024
hard
#83ATP
1719ELO
1702Hard ELO
$435kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWLLWL
Rublev A.
7-6 7-5
Sonego L.
Rublev A.
7772
Sonego L.
6350

Andrey Rublev defeated Lorenzo Sonego 7-6 7-5 in the Metz round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #16, leading the head-to-head 3–2. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

32
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-13BarcelonaR16clayAndrey Rublev6-2 6-3
2025-07-27Canada MastersR32hardAndrey Rublev5-7 6-4 6-3
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR32clayLorenzo Sonego5-7 0-6 6-3 7-6(5) 6-3
2021-05-10Rome MastersQFclayLorenzo Sonego3-6 6-4 6-3
2020-10-26ViennaFhardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Sonego L.

Sonego L.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Sonego L.
55
Serve
41
52
Return
38

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Even
66%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.9
6.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (150 vs 119). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
89
69
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
72
45
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
71
Tiebreaks·Even
92
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+147 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1702
6.7Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1719
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
4.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.9
Minutes 14d
5.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
95
79

Rublev A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Sonego L.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast