Jan Choinski vs Joao FonsecaHelsinki CH Round of 16

Helsinki CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#75ATP
1686ELO
1571Hard ELO
$204kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 4 November 2024
hard
#27ATP
1928ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
Choinski J.
0-6 6-1 6-2
Fonseca J.
Choinski J.
0662
Fonseca J.
6121

Jan Choinski defeated Joao Fonseca 0-6 6-1 6-2 in the Helsinki CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Joao Fonseca came in ranked #27. Jan Choinski extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-01EstorilR32clayJan Choinski6-2 6-7(5) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Choinski J.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Fonseca J.

Fonseca J.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Choinski J.

Serve advantage — Fonseca J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Choinski J.Fonseca J.
Serve
47
Return
38

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.2
5.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (164 vs 129). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
55
76
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
97
Break points won·Clear edge
20
43
Deciding sets·Even
88
89
Tiebreaks·Dominant
41
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.1Hard Elo 1571
Surface ELO
9.9+342 Hard Elo edge
0.6Overall Elo 1686
ELO gap
9.4Overall Elo 1928
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.4
Surface form
5.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
5.6
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
49
91

Choinski J.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 113 games (7d) · Fonseca J.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast