Jan Choinski vs Joao FonsecaEstoril Round of 32

Estoril · ATP · Round of 32
#100ATP
1686ELO
1652Clay ELO
$204kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 1 April 2024
clay
#27ATP
1928ELO
1856Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
Choinski J.
6-2 6-7 6-4
Fonseca J.
Choinski J.
66562
Fonseca J.
27741

Jan Choinski defeated Joao Fonseca 6-2 6-7 6-4 in the Estoril round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Joao Fonseca came in ranked #27, but Jan Choinski had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 4 on clay.

Key context

  • Match story: Jan Choinski closed it out in three sets, 6–2 6–7 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Choinski J.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Fonseca J.

Fonseca J.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Choinski J.

Serve advantage — Fonseca J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Choinski J.Fonseca J.
Serve
65
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.2
5.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (164 vs 129). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
55
76
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
97
Break points won·Clear edge
20
43
Deciding sets·Even
87
89
Tiebreaks·Dominant
41
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.9Clay Elo 1652
Surface ELO
8.1+204 Clay Elo edge
0.6Overall Elo 1686
ELO gap
9.4Overall Elo 1928
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.2
Surface form
4.9
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
2.6
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
57
89

Choinski J.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 87 games (7d) · Fonseca J.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast