Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Ignacio BuseLima 2 CH Round of 32

Lima 2 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#45ATP
1790ELO
1762Clay ELO
$752kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 4 November 2024
clay
#33ATP
1822ELO
1786Clay ELO
$949kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Cerundolo J.
1-6 6-3 7-5
Buse I.
Cerundolo J.
1672
Buse I.
6351

Juan Manuel Cerundolo defeated Ignacio Buse 1-6 6-3 7-5 in the Lima 2 CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Ignacio Buse came in ranked #33. Juan Manuel Cerundolo extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-14GstaadSFclayJuan Manuel Cerundolo6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Cerundolo J.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Buse I.

Buse I.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Cerundolo J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Cerundolo J.Buse I.
15
Serve
41
41
Return
8

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
41%
Break points saved·Even
57%
59%
Aces / match·Even
3.3
3.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (182 vs 144). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
85
63
Break points saved·Slight edge
82
87
Break points won·Dominant
80
28
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
80
Tiebreaks·Even
96
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1762
Surface ELO
5.2+25 Clay Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1790
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1822
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
5.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.1
Minutes 14d
8.4
3-set count
7.0
4.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
98

Cerundolo J.: 15 days rest · Buse I.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast