Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Ignacio BuseWinston-Salem Quarter-final

Winston-Salem · ATP · Quarter-final
#51ATP
1790ELO
1658Hard ELO
$779kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
hard
Stadium Court · 2nd on
#36ATP
1822ELO
1662Hard ELO
$949kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLWWLL
Cerundolo J.
6-7 6-4 2-6
Buse I.
Cerundolo J.
64621
Buse I.
77462

Ignacio Buse defeated Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the quarterfinals of the Winston-Salem tournament. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 4-6, 6-2 in favor of Buse. He won with 6 service breaks to Cerundolo's 5, and converted 43% of break points to his opponent's 45%.

Key context

  • Match story: Ignacio Buse closed it out in three sets, 7–6 4–6 6–2.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-14GstaadSFclayJuan Manuel Cerundolo6-3 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.7
3.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
77
63
Break points saved·Slight edge
81
87
Break points won·Dominant
71
28
Deciding sets·Clear edge
95
80
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
82
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Cerundolo J.50%
Buse I.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1658
Surface ELO
5.1+4 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1790
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1822
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.56 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.45 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
64
48

Cerundolo J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 65 games (7d) · Buse I.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 110 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw