Jan Lennard Struff vs Lorenzo Musetti — Paris Masters Round of 64

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 64
Jan Lennard Struff
GER
Jan Lennard Struff
#74ATP
1694ELO
1634Hard ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 28 October 2024
hard
Lorenzo Musetti
ITA16
Lorenzo Musetti
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Struff J.
6-4 6-2
Musetti L.
Struff J.
662
Musetti L.
420

Jan Lennard Struff defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-4 6-2 in the Paris Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64. Jan Lennard Struff claimed a first win over Lorenzo Musetti in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-09-26SofiaQFhardLorenzo Musetti7-6(3) 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Struff J.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Struff J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Struff J.Musetti L.
36
Serve
54
40
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Struff J.Musetti L.
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.0
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (121 vs 155). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Struff J.Musetti L.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
61
89
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Dominant
21
82
Deciding sets·Dominant
68
99
Tiebreaks·Even
94
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Struff J.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Musetti L.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
1.7Hard Elo 1634
Surface ELO
8.3+169 Hard Elo edge
1.6Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
8.4Overall Elo 1869
0.0
H2H
10.0
2.6
Surface form
6.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
6.6
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.3
Country comfort
5.7
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Struff J.Musetti L.
Freshness·
53
—

Struff J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
14°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 92%
Final
Zverev A.[3]
Humbert U.[15]
6-26-2
Semi-finals
Humbert U.[15]
Khachanov K.
6-766-46-3
Zverev A.[3]
Rune H.[13]
6-37-64
Quarter-finals
Rune H.[13]
De Minaur A.[9]
6-44-67-5
Khachanov K.
Dimitrov G.[8]
6-26-3
Zverev A.[3]
Tsitsipas S.[10]
7-56-4
Humbert U.[15]
Thompson J.
6-27-64
R16
Humbert U.[15]
Alcaraz C.[2]
6-13-67-5
Rune H.[13]
Cazaux A.
3-66-36-4
De Minaur A.[9]
Draper J.
5-76-26-3
Zverev A.[3]
Fils A.
6-43-66-3
Tsitsipas S.[10]
Cerundolo F.
6-716-46-2
Dimitrov G.[8]
Rinderknech A.
6-24-67-65
Khachanov K.
Popyrin A.
7-656-4
Thompson J.
Mannarino A.
7-57-65
R32
Fils A.
Struff J.
6-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[10]
Tabilo A.
6-36-4
Thompson J.
Ruud C.[7]
7-633-66-4
Rinderknech A.
Michelsen A.
7-667-67
Draper J.
Fritz T.[5]
7-664-66-4
Zverev A.[3]
Griekspoor T.
7-626-3
Cerundolo F.
Rublev A.[6]
7-667-65
Dimitrov G.[8]
Etcheverry T.
6-796-37-5
Khachanov K.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-7126-16-4
De Minaur A.[9]
Kecmanovic M.
6-47-65
Mannarino A.
Bergs Z.
3-66-26-4
Humbert U.[15]
Giron M.
6-36-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Jarry N.
7-56-1
Popyrin A.
Medvedev D.[4]
6-42-67-64
Cazaux A.
Shelton B.
6-37-64
Rune H.[13]
Bublik A.
6-46-2
R64
De Minaur A.[9]
Navone M.
7-56-1
Struff J.
Musetti L.[16]
6-46-2
Etcheverry T.
Zhang Z.
6-37-66
Khachanov K.
Oconnell C.
6-43-67-66
Giron M.
Shang J.
7-667-66
Rinderknech A.
Machac T.
6-735-3
Michelsen A.
Hurkacz H.[12]
6-16-3
Tabilo A.
Borges N.
3-67-656-3
Draper J.
Lehecka J.
7-56-2
Fils A.
Cilic M.
7-656-4
Kecmanovic M.
Baez S.
6-46-767-5
Griekspoor T.
Darderi L.
6-36-4
Bublik A.
Fognini F.
7-57-5
Rune H.[13]
Arnaldi M.
6-46-4
Thompson J.
Martinez P.
6-46-4
Bergs Z.
Gasquet R.
6-36-4
Mannarino A.
Paul T.[11]
6-37-5
Humbert U.[15]
Nakashima B.
6-34-66-4
Jarry N.
Sonego L.
7-646-3
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Tiafoe F.[14]
6-757-646-3
Cerundolo F.
Halys Q.
7-656-3
Shelton B.
Moutet C.
6-36-786-3
Tsitsipas S.[10]
Carballes Baena R.
4-66-36-3
Popyrin A.
Berrettini M.
7-57-62